Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pleaseusetheportal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Screaming Virginia | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Details Matter | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dawson | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pharoahs List | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Work It | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bella Baby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Girl | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parco | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zzyzx | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sapadilla | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 98 | Dance Kid | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Ryder | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Brother Mike | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acceleray | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road of Love | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Number One Son | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ranger Joe | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gayles Evening | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indy’s Star | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A New Peace | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lasting Love | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aloha Kitten | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Joy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Man Bags | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Project Leader | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handr’sdream | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nolongerahobby | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Equipo A | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Debt Monger | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Soul of Midnight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So I’m Told | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Key Is Unity | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galoping Cat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger’s Arrow | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mars On Fire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect D | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Cross Knight | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Special | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Troutman | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tembo | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Per Se | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Feminine | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.