Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 P J’s Rider 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Ginamaya 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Super Money 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Sky Buy 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Honor the Truth 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Celtic War Cry 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Hey Riri 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Golden Blossom 30.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Unfettered Diva 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Meetmeatthebeach 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Devil Pays in Gold 20.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Matty Bo 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Loving Cup 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Thunder Boss 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Don Diva 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lady Cage Fighter 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Little Nutter 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fessin Up 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Reveille Song 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Lancer 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sweet Factor 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sassy Annie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Need a Marker 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gold Time Vixen 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Irish Lace 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Some Is Nine 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Flat Discount 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Salty Saul 30.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Caged Pixie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classic Joke 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Summerstateofmind 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Kingdom Force 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Regalo 1.60 5.7 11-1
6 6 Hold My Stetson 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Count Daddy 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Inveigled 3.50 7.1 13-1
1 1 Goodbye Note 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Amen McLaren 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Elusive Agent 12.00 1 2-1
7 6 Running River 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Abuelo Paps 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 9 Ampersand 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Carbonite 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Frog Town 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Super Rocker 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Chocolate Shake 2.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Switzer 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Pudge Boy Palace 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Shackinthebox 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Noble Bid 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mundle of Joy 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Spicy Margarita 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Golden Can 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Speak Your Mind 30.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Blame Catalaya 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Breezy Connection 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Shesasuperfreak 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Lenten Rose 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fast Lani 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Awesome View 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Puppymonkeybaby 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Adios Babe 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hot Lookin Royal 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Murray 1.00 1 2-1
2 1 Find Faith 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Brother Conway 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Liberty Star 4.00 3.6 7-1
1A 8 Aequor 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Inspired Irish 30.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Delegated 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 4 Tenebris 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Everett’s Song 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 All Threes 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Iywaan 4.00 2 4-1
1 2 Uncle Irish 3.00 2.4 5-1
1A 7 Magic Michael 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Outlier 10.00 4 7-1
6 6 Offaly Cool 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cynergy’s Electra 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Brooklyn Girl 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Oh Mrs. Maisel 1.40 2.2 4-1
11 11 Cumberland Falls 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tanka Tough 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Girly the Butcher 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Call Me Vivian 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cush Effect 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Determined Lilly 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Domo Arigatou 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kobe’s Smile 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.