Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gentlemen’s Club | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halo Uncle | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr Big Bucks | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beer Money | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ballymun | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Wicked Facts | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Turquoise Bikini | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paid in Gold | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casia | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Year Ever | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | California Diva | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hop On and Ride | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tropicana Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lov U Mean It | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Code Ribbon | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Kitten | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Sway | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ardtrea | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Careless Star | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Roll Song | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm d’Oro | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flag Salute | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dallas Alice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Flatter | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Tok | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Alert | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Egomania | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Flatter | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Curly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Pappy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Borntostaythirsty | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tobacco Honey | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Middle Name | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoove Over | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Zappy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rippin a Way | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Essential Business | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Dawson | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Bulletproof | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Act of Serendipity | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Swirvin Girvin | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belle Cherie | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Corporal Klinger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mastermind | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circle the Moon | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missed Call | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Lightning | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mentirosa | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Kingdom | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reign Over Me | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ray of the Sea | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aberdeen’s Knight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (E.b. Johnston S.) – E.b. Johnston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kings River Knight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Draw Munnings | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hail Freedom | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Podres | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finneus | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shortman | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geezer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.