Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Food Foodie 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sir Lumpalot 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Law of the Jungle 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Votethemallout 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Admit Nothing 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Impetud 2.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Pride of Payton 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Alottacents 5.00 7 13-1
9 9 Rushin Tothecircle 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Orange Juice 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Kinda Fonda Wanda 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Beltane 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Shine On Moon 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 K’s Storm Ready 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Pump It Up 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 In the End 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Our Legal Tender 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Destin’s Rainbow 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Watch Out World 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Emm Ess Eh 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Beachfront Breeze 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Velvet Vixen 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Irish Maxima 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Foxy Curl 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sheilahs Warcloud 4.50 6.7 13-1
6 6 Bootsy’s Merlot 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Sakamoto 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Alla Breve 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gift of Gab 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Brzina 15.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Future Is Now 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bitty Boss 30.00 4.2 8-1
14 14 Killy Start 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Winked 3.00 6 11-1
6 6 Cut From Class 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Lilly Simone 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Tritone Gal 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Betcha by Golly 30.00 9.8 19-1
16 16 Made to Hustle 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Reckless Kelly 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Nineteenamendment 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sentella 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Shine Again S.) – Shine Again S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Intrepid Daydream 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mama G’s Wish 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sweet Gracie 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Beneath the Stars 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 First to Act 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Deco Strong 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bourbon Wildcat 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Moody Woman 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Self Isolation 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Alberta Sun 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Ben’s Cat S.) – Ben’s Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sky’s Not Falling 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 R B’s the Boss 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Matta 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Commanding General 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Prince Pere 30.00 4 8-1
10 10 Boss Man J J 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Witty 1.80 5.3 10-1
5 5 B Determined 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Showtime Cat 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Golden G 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Lite The Fuse S.) – Lite The Fuse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wondrwherecraigis 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Dollarization 30.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jaxon Traveler 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sir Alfred James 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Stage Left 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Cowan 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Scaramouche 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Little Roo Roo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (All Along S.) – All Along S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Willakia 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Eidikos (GB) 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Full Count Felicia 3.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Creative Cairo 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 My Thoughts 30.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Milagrosa Surena (ARG) 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Eight Danzas 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Unruly Julie 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mouffy 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Myriskyaffair 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Queen Judith 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kotyle 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Weather Vane S.) – Weather Vane S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blind Spot 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Late Frost 2.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Ms. Bucchero 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Apple Picker 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Tappin Josie 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Our Liberty Belle 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Talk to the Judge 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Fancy Joke 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 King Vega (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Smokin’ T 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 He’spuregold 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Highestdistinction 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Business Model 1.40 SCRATCH
5 5 Cazadero 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Doppelganger 1.20 SCRATCH
8 8 Tee At One 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lem Me Drink 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tres Maria’s Dream 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Opinionated 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Forgotten Gift 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Gather the Facts 6.00 5.6 10-1
16 16 Spoils of War 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Millrose 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Gilda’s Girl 10.00 7 13-1
13 13 Kelly’s Party Girl 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Stage Call 5.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 No Sharing 30.00 10 19-1
12 12 Two Spot 30.00 12.7 24-1
15 15 Amaretto Sour 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sultry Sky 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Every Time 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Zolatone 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.