Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Happy Clouds 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Super Renee 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Joya Del Sur 1.60 3.4 6-1
3 3 Wheelingndealing 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ice Cube Baby 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sea Art 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 O Shaughesey 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Divine Wine 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Mosler 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Singalong 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Nuwanda 12.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Proper Storm 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Lottaclass Lilsass 30.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Sortaria 50.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Hazelmoor Beach 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Meliponini Bee 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Believe in Freedom 10.00 5.2 10-1
14 14 Supersnake 15.00 9 17-1
16 16 Incontrovertible 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fashionatta 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Sullivan Street 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Donna’s Courage 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thencomemorning 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Little Lance 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Standinginthefire 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Subscribed 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 8 Dream River 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Thankmyluckymoons 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Steal N Dreams 15.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Paco the Taco Man 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fast Stride 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Neutral 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sigmund 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Jones Falls 4.50 3.4 6-1
12 12 Awesome Strike 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Summer Anthem 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Ballyhoo Prince 3.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mentalist 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Spiritual Ghost 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Good Knight Nile 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Celtic Sea 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Lightning Lad 10.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Fast Ride 50.00 9.4 18-1
14 14 Drum and Drummer 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 King Swansboro 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cocktail Dreaming 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Esperannna 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Moniques Daredevil 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Calypso Ghost 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cartwheel 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tweet Away Robin 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ninja Abarrio 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mashua 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Irish Mirage 5.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Ganbatte 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Snooze Button 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Tipsy Tourist 30.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Bizzy Bizzy 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Love Notion 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Ritamarley 4.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Chalice 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Super Jo Jo 30.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Intel Agent 30.00 10 19-1
15 15 I’m Pretty 20.00 10.9 21-1
16 16 Providing 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Free Admission 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Punkin 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Dancinonthebeach 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freestanding 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 By Its Absence 12.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Bill of Rights 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Victim of the Nite 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 One America 4.50 5.4 10-1
8 8 North Highland 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Labarde 2.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Long Live Now 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Red Wind 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Nicolar 10.00 2 4-1
11 11 Instinctive 4.50 2.8 5-1
13 13 Bramble Bush 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hope Over Fear 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Divine Exchange 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Congress Hall 6.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Trikki Nikki 50.00 9 17-1
14 14 Red Pixie 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Viking Queen 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dotada 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Evangeline Allons 50.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Earley Rose 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Imnotonetocomplain 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Royal Whisper 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bandits Warrior 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bazinga C 2.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Rachel’s Rock 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Whiteknuckleflyer 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Quick Munny 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Out Dancing 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Crypto Mama 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Violent Vixen 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 American Bastet 50.00 10.3 20-1
11 11 Dry Well 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bold Hoppertunity 0 0-1
4 4 Pietrelcina 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hay Chief 3.50 2.4 5-1
12 12 Elfuegomasbrilante 30.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Cripple Creek 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Here’s Liam 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Longworth 12.00 5 10-1
6 6 Bold Hoppertunity 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bad Lineage 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Harness Creek 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Scorestosettle 50.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Wired In 12.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Discreet Love 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 World Factor 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.