Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vals Sizzling Lips 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Trs Amazing Gracie 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Famous Coronado 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Going Gaga 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Badrapidfastcat 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Miss Jessita 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ts Attack the End 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Wagon Dashin 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Bully Lips 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Best N Class 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hired Then Fired 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Str Forged in Fire 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Valcorona 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ts Lil Cash 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ts No Time to Exit 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Rm Rapidrebel 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Casanovas Racy Miss 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Trs Amazing Alana 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Going Up the Country 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Rm Crushonivory 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Southard 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 My Candys Relentless 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 B Zoomin 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Swype Right 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Torts On a Wagon 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Rtm Belle 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Hey Soul Sistr 3.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Relentless Jewell 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jazz Brunch 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Blow Sum Smoke 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Admiral’s Garnet 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Paisley’s Vision 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 S C Angel 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Goodnightsugar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Rascal 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Liberty’s Hauler 1.40 2.2 4-1
5 5 Outofquemado 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tripp’s Hit 3.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Valiant West 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Morningnoonandnite 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 That’s Our Vision 10.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Quiet I’m Not 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Esprit Rouge 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hanks Girl 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 She’s Solid Silver 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Dreamin It Up 6.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Tennessee Grace 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pizza Charlie 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Eight Straight 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Dodger Blue 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Meet George Jetson 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Skyflyer 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Tiz Red Time 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Brahms Image 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aprettylulaby 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bye Love Gotta Go 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ivy Abad Girl 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Tapthatluck 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Barbed Wire 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Rudy Tooty 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Shy Runner 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Game to Play 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scrutinizer 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 All Over Oliver 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tin Badge 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Discreet Invasion 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Not Rocket Science 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Take Me Up Brady 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Lucky Louie 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Giant Gamble 8.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.