Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Contrivance 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Zodiac Beach 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Be On Notice 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Guardtherock 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Squeezethesharman 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Oh Peanuts 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Cantucci 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fanore (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Giovannino 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Jaggersgotagun 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Chasing Trouble 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Dare to Be King 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Political Warfare 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Proud Ronin 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Big Shooter 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Alpha Meister 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sovereign Cause 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 So Called Vacation 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Wealllikedhim 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Coherence 2.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Demba 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Sugartap 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Puddingontheritz 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hilarious Affair 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jimmies Big Day 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Society’s Thunder 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Souper Sunshine 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Old Blue Cliff 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Dissectologist 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Uncaptured Moment 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lonhro’s Gamble 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bar Talk 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Needs Fulfilled 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Brave Dancer 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hatmaker Gizmo 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Awesome Entry 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Indy Cowboy 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Buck’s Fizz 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Screen Legend 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Time to Dazzle 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Oscarsson 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Swift Delivery 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Maticulant 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Motion Granted 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bandwagon 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Catholic Jackie 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Johnny Gold 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Meyer 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ron’s Gizmo 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Conglomerate 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 6 Kiddie Holiday 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Lil Bit Gangsta 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Just Start Me Up 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Prideofdistinction 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Magic Slips 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 English Jubilee 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Weller Green 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Jo Daddy 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 No More Options 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Thor’s Cause 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lakefield 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Hard Diamond 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Garofoli 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Nantuckets Day 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Highland Rocky 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Candid Candace 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fifty B M G 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Seaway S.) – Seaway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Il Malocchio 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ticker Tape Home 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Vantarsi 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Millie Girl 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Hazelbrook 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ready To Venture (GB) 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Purrfect 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Hai Bobbi 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Talk to Ya Later 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silver Magnatized 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Toeris 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Myriskyaffair 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Keyflower (FR) 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 My Girl Sky 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Pemberley 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Batyah 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 3.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Whimsical Dance 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Aim for the Sky 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Spite Store 5.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Forester’s Fortune 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Four Aces High 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Feelthebeat 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Warp Ride 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Tricky Magician 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Western Trouble 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Galvaston 6.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Ghoul (BRZ) 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Kawacatoose 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.