Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Five Bar Fantasy 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ima Southern God 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Suzys Light 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hard Rock Candy 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Makin It Rayne 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Kenoma 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Uncurled Fist 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rcs Wagons Queen 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Heza Spirited Ace 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 A Star Tonite 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Freddy Separate 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Ts Wave as I Fly Bye 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mighty Cute 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bhr Light My Spark 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Fly Donna Fly 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Might B Southern 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rm Flyeasycash 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ima Fast Cat Too 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Call a Runaway 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Mr Apollitical Seis 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Joda Tempting Gravel 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Blessed Be the Name 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wonderment 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Ts You Got Allmycash 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Tilucant 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Red Surprise 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dennis the Mennis 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 U Cankissmy Jazz 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Beers and Sunshine 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Smokestack 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dash the Duck 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Incitatus Cowgirl 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Calliope 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Girlwalksintoabar 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cowboy Casanova 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Knight Commander 1.80 1.4 3-1
7 7 Red White and Loud 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Late for Lunch 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mahomes 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Snap’n Tap 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Secret Blarney 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ocean Ride 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Blueskiesandangels 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Lover Boy 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Golden Luna 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 New Stripe 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Replete 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Candy’s Little Tip 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s a Big Star 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rebel Rising 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Social Circle 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 West Side Girl 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Reina Del Sur 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Jeri Dawn 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Medicine Tail 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gerard 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Tizhotndusty 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Broadway Pete 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sailor Chow 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Buzzer 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wicklow Laddie 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Fleetwood Smack 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jupiter Mission 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Do It Like Kevin 3.00 4 7-1
3 3 Kickin’ Charlie 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Gunpowder n’ Lead 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Espiridion 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hard Spirits 1.60 1.3 2-1
3 3 My Firing Line 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Song of Praise 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 C L Legacy 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 The Awful Truth 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rockin the Dad Bod 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Eliot Ness 8.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Woke Up in Love 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 A Brush of Luck 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Dreadpirateroberts 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Uncle Singh 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Chinlee 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Temple City Run 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.