Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Curteis 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Shea D Capture 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Chip’s Friend 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sette Stelle 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Principe 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Florianopolis 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Doctor Magic 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Arthur S Gold 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marion Grace 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Emirates Affair 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Jezebel Jade 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Et’s Moon Maiden 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Systemic Risk 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Clout Chaser 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Collin’s Grey Lady 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Peyton’s College 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Classy Miss 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Miss Chamita 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Speightster’s Gold 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Gingers Wish 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Thegoddessofsnakes 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trepat 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Haney Boys 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 J Wass 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Dadashev 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Our Mark Steven 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Vero Sun 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Rockin Freebee 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Alonzo Mosely 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Social Lady 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 So Fully Sue 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Blueberry Pie 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 A Case of You 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tap It Up 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bruno Barber Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fearless Kristie 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Istria 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 From Hello 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Minxzhippsdontleye 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Harley’s Charly 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mizzen Man 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Aztec Legend 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 On Our Way Boyz 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cupid’s Dart 4.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 W. P. Cadet 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Wheresthepassion 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Easy Day 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Happy Farm 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Legal Deal 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Baafeed 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Geebert 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Rob the Rich 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Real Talk 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Joke 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bailintin 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dewey Doit 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 R Fashionably Late 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Made Birdie 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Kiss for Luck 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Eloper 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pageant Princess 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Getaway Palace 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 That’stony’ssister 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Moonboots 6.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Coach Has Six Aces 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Touring Maryanne 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Bohemia Babe 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Neon City 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Inanna’s Quest 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Carlotuk 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 On the Shortlist 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 He’s Incredible 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 He Hate Me 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Empire’s Score 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Osprey 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Small Reason 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bucks Are Moving 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Hide the Ransom 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Saponara 5.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Crypt 5.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.