Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spirited Ride 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Bold Baby 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sofster 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Sheza Nasty Girl 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bella Carmelina 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Don’t Tell Kelly 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rowsie Express 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Perfectly Golden 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Titoschangedmyluck 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Dry Humor 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Pasta Salad Rhonda 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Flirtini 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Grand Arrow 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hidden Warrior 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Boondoggle 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Top of the Mint 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Justinspeightofit 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tankinator 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Taino 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Mogalu 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Primordial Fear 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Jo Jo 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Dorothy’s the Boss 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Purrfect Dani 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Ojitos Bellos 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 La Santa Clara 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 She So Cool 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Harper’s Do 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lorraine (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Beach Island 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Active 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Big Bolt 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Mischiefness 15.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Spirit of Victory 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Forest Fuel 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sweet Summer Love 15.00 3.9 7-1
14 14 Pink Lady Lu Sha 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Pure Magic Girl 12.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Little Crybaby 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Brigid of Kildare 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gravity Hill 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 White Heat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nick’s Little Boy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Disco Devil 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Cantankerous Cat 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tuna N Stamps 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Big Louie 2.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Fort Burton 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 My Handsome Man 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Offshore Affair 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Formal Order 4.50 1.6 3-1
12 12 Dream Liner (BRZ) 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Joe Phillips 8.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Entertainment 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Borgobythesea 12.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Backwoods Boogie 10.00 5 10-1
10 10 Trumpence 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Oxide 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 The Angry Man 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Rock Solid Golfer 20.00 12.2 23-1
3 3 Uncle Andrew 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Khozy My Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Marvin 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Parisian Vibe 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Jean 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Liking It Twisted 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 True Atka 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 My Super Sally 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Knot Anymore 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.