Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Brooklyn Diamonds 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Union Lights 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 King of Chaos 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 2 Bert Bert Bert 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Cumberland Blues 2.50 6.1 12-1
1A 6 Cheeky Tico 8.00 7 13-1
7 8 Blu Grotto 3.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Prince of Joy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jester’s Song 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kupp 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 On the Come Up 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Charger 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rock the Weekend 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 High Strike 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Talkin Pharoah 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 High Front 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nothing Better 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Today’s Flavor 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Sosua Summer 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 1 Bring Me a Check 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ikigai 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 Mid Day Image 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Gun It 8.00 SCRATCH
1X 9 Colonel Bowman 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Roja Ligera 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Memento Mi 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Boss Lady Kim 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 High School Crush 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Just a Nyquist 4.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Sweet as Sugar 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Simple Sugar 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Racing Colors 15.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Redzilla 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Blue Plate Special 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bad Larry 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 War Prince 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Prix de West 6.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Woodside Warrior 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Munny for Nuthin 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Testa Dura 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sin Nombre 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Impulsive Spending 30.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Majestic Arc 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Dream Canteen 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Virtual Reality 3.00 1 2-1
8 9 She’s Mo Bubbly 2.50 2 4-1
4 3 Pentagon 4.50 3.1 6-1
1A 6 Tangential 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 7 Avenue Niel (IRE) 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sister Bridget (IRE) 12.00 4 8-1
7 8 Biloxi Blues 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Rhombique 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Embrace Me 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 10 Ichiban 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kara Para 0 0-1
4 4 Proud Foot 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jolly Miss Jill 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Diamond Collector 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mursal 2.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Freudian 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bon Adieu 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Kara Para 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Dolce Sera 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (John Hettinger S.) – John Hettinger S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whatlovelookslike 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Runaway Rumour 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Spungie 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 New Ginya 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 6 Out of Sight 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Saratoga Chrome 30.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Bustin Bay 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweetie 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Know It All Audrey 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sunset Louise 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ridgewood Runner 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Irish Gent (IRE) 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Reverend Moon 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 7 Feltrinelli 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Apollo Ten 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Get Ready to Rock 30.00 6 11-1
6 5 Dangerous Driver 50.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Awesome for Sure 30.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Financial District 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Prospero (IRE) 6.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Migratory 10.00 8.5 16-1
1A 13 Astraeus 4.00 10.2 19-1
7 6 Score the Rock 15.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Electric Eel 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.