Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midnight Silence 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fast Investment 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Boginskaya 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Geejaytee 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Dorine’s Wild Cat 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Round in Circles 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tropicana Girl 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Awesome Taylor 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Vegan 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Drizella 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Quiet Secretary 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Roman Empress 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Capo Sorella 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lighting and Reign 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Miss Pixy Stix 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sassitude 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Wok Don’t Run 3.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Hurricane Hottie 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Departure 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Blameless 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 High Heater 1.80 1.2 2-1
5 4 Heir (FR) 4.50 1.3 2-1
6 5 My Indy 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 98 Egomania 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just a Little Luck 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mango Moon 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 R Girl’s Werth It 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Modera 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ila Veiw Too 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 House of Targaryen 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Duty First 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Logon to Win 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Fordy G 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cribbage Board 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Moon Ice 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Quincey 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 The Last One Perk 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Smiling Ruler 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lovesick Blues 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Moose Mitchell 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 See Through It 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Perfectionistic 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Swift as I Am 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Principe Carlo 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mongolian Legend 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Seahawk Mary 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Just Is 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Yvett’s Surprise 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Hey Demps 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Illhaveanotherkiss 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Ryder’s Candy 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Magic Secret 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Yaleo 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.