Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Dialherup 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Georgie 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 8 Guardian Angel 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 2 Spencerian 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sistren 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 1 Fivecommatwo 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 7 Blueberry Indygo 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Kentucky Reign 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Star Shopping 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 On the Engine 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Pursuing Pace 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Cavalry Command 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ripken 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Fun Lovin Criminal 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Prince of Caps 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Stimulus Maker 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Prince of Portland 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Unorthodox 30.00 7.7 14-1
14 14 Super E 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Joe Brains 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Maybe It’s Time 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 He’s On Fire 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 New York Panther 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gliding Afleet 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Senator Kelly 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dowsing Rod 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moonset 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Sustenance 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Austin From Boston 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Court Contender 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Army Cadet 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 For Honor and Luck 30.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Army Ranger 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Lil Buddy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Compass Rises 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Invest Wisely 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Red Hot and Blue 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Kake’s Tap Dancer 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Krone 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 I’m Glad (IRE) 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Meow Meow Hiss 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Magic in the Park 30.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Jersey Joyce 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Time Goes Fast 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Princess Cairo 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Angora Deb 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tenax 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Spitball 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Crownedcountcristo 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 His Royal G 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 One More Factor 3.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Bad Guy 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 E J’s Revenge 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Our Hoisted Mast 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Captain Cardo 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bomboloni 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Jackie A 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Aesthetically 8.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Artemus Bridge 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sir Terre 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bourbon Currency 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Mint Game 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Jammin Still 30.00 10 19-1
2 2 Gallant Gold 30.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Blameitonthefun 50.00 11.6 22-1
14 14 Continental Divide 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Attentive 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 City Rage 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hanalei’s Houdini 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Castagno 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gunslinger (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Harmonizing 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Battling Time 2.50 2.7 5-1
13 13 Pudd’n N Pie 3.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Just the Thing 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Go Sherry Go 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Feelin So Lucky 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Momma’s Lino 8.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Confluence Lassie 20.00 6.1 12-1
15 15 A Lotta Moxie 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Doesn’thurttoflirt 30.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Skip Thru Da Fire 30.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Mas Victoria 20.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Irish Angel 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 To Be Loved by You 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Eric Brown’s Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cloudy Night 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gold Digging Broad 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Recinto Rompere 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Queen’s Garden 3.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Gals Gal 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Circle Home 15.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Chelichna 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Memphis Showboat 6.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Beautiful Gorgeous 30.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Viking Queen 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Isabella’s Glory 30.00 10.3 19-1
14 14 Youens 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 She’sarollingstone 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Chorus Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Six the Hard Way 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Golden Heart 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 G Laurie 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Post Time 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Rustys Gfivefifty 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Nolo Contesto 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Minister for Magic 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Top Boss 50.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Indian Lake 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Magic Mule 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mystic O’Shaunesie 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ladneedsahandler 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mose Perfect 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Johnyz From Albany 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Goodtimetobeirish 0 0-1
6 6 Israeli Army 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Master Oogway 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 3 Thunderhouse 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Frog Prince 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Fun Coast 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Reap What You Sow 3.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Meno 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Dollars N Sense 50.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Goodtimetobeirish 8.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Anaheim 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 A Thousand Idols 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Academy Choice 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sergeant Sherman 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 The Big Enchilada 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.