Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twixter 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Manetka 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Little Domi 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kinzhal 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Spanish Serenade 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Chairman Layla 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bee Bee the King 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sea to Air 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Smart Coverage 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Very Debonaire 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Silent Risk 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Jmr Speedy Escape 5.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Midnight Moonshine 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classy Image 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Natural Star 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Crafty Oaks 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Uphill Dance 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Two Ghosts 1.40 3.2 6-1
2 2 Pontiac 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Summer Snow 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Rookie Court 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Telltale 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Golden Train 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 War’s End Kiss 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Bittersweetbizness 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 So Breanna 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Map 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mentoring 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Harper City 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sing Dixie 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Preetzah’s Star 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Brother Belen 3.50 7.2 14-1
7 7 Wont Forget You 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Commander At Sea 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 No More Salt 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Malibu Uproar 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lapochka 2.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Solar 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sunrise Drive 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Desolator 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Lion Kingdom 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Sailor’s Passion 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Taradar 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Hell Bent 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dreams and Schemes 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Barefoot Servantu 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Centenary 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 I’m Snow Angel 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Brief 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Take Chances 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Defamation 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr. De 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Amazon Forester 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Palace Ring 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Grand Ambition 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Smokin Holiday 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Bellaspina 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Discovery Chart 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 It’s Me Mario 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Echo With Laughter 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Only Love 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 This Dude a Breeze 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.