Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wb Dashing Brat 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wagon Full of Prizes 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Jjs Blue Moon 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lavish One 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Lupito 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Professor T 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tornado Jane 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Comeback Darling 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Hasta Be Ivory 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 This Candy Is Grand 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Jjs Royal Time 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Windys Sweet Favorit 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Misterio Kool Wagon 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mr Chachel 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Gamble With Corona 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ts Eat Dust 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Kt Shelia Cartel 3.50 4 7-1
9 9 Racy N Royal 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ts Exit With a Win 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Fn Amazin Jaymz 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Your First Corona 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Girls in Charge 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Trip to Freedom 12.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Unherdof 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Blow Sum Smoke 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Northern Gem 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Jazz Brunch 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I Love Rocknstroll 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Loud Boy 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Brilliant Colors 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dixie Three G 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Apollo Bay 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Pistol Packin Man 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Star Mission 4.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Whonew 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dantheconcreteman 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ore Mine 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Little Tap Dancer 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Can’t Want That 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Defiant Malice 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mission Is a Go 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Awesome Family 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Incitatus 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Leaveitonthefield 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Koselio 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Herzen 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Billy Yank 15.00 4 7-1
9 9 Mine My Time 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Cole Spur 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 John R 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Annieway U Want It 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ivy Abad Girl 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Princessofchitown 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Peggy Rules 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Diamond of Ekati 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Taking Charge Desi 2.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Milliganmikeandme 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Iron Lotus 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Eurowendi 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spanish Kiss 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sangria Sky 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Rowdy Ray 2.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Native Hellraiser 2.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Macho Forty Five 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cinco de Mo 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Davidic Line 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Double Thunder 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Strings 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Revenir 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Irish Valor 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 California Swing 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Fake Solution 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Heza Wild Ride 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Brickbat 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.