Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mike Operator 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dr. Troutman 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Man 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Divine Feminine 2.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mongolian Kingdom 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 We’ll Do It Live 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Spirit Rules 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Pinecone 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Miss Mind Changer 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sophie Jean 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Don’t Bring Crazy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Swede 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Economical 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Sonic Brees 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Curly Esa 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fast Per Se 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Papale 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s My Niece 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Just Be You 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Outspoken 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 California Code 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Arctic Breeze 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bossy Bruin Gal 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nesso’s Lastharrah 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ultra Power 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Miracle Mark 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Potential Spam 4.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Sir Looking Glass 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tapalo 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Betty’s Song 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Hollywood Rumor 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Ocean of Lies 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Miss Commander 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Warren’s Show Bizz 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hammett 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Doozy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Kiss My Kat 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Diamonds Danzing 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Dancing Soul 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Song of Shadows 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Shanghai Sunrise 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Flymetothemoonbaby 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 98 Trouble N Paradise 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Cheddar 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Special 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Around the Dial 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Majestic Wind 20.00 3 6-1
9 9 Midnight Lightning 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Abadon 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bound to Bet 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Awesome Heights 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hot Pursuit 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cowboy Mike 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wine and Whisky 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Jerry Jeff Walker 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Buck Owens 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Star Prospect 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Galoping Cat 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Luka Grazie 3.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.