Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Randys Lady 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 American Sparrow 2.50 1.9 3-1
5 5 Champ 40 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Eos Save a Cowboy 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Gal With Authority 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Cowboy Karaoke 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 P Fifty One 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charismatic 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hunny Bee 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Checotah Candy 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Apollitical Jimmy 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Jess a Flying Mr C 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Louisianasluckycharm 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Marys Cashy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lika Bullet 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Smitty 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Trs Big Jake 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Charming Gogo 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Ts Jess Time Forbeer 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wonderment 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dash of Tres 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tilucant 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Deutsch 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Curls Ivory Princess 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Oh So Valiant 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Bigg Daddys Bac 3.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Rocking the World 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Love This Heart 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Cuervo On Rocks 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oscar Winner Wally 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ship Boss 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Shut Up Man 1.60 1.3 2-1
3 3 Lord of the Palace 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Pure Crystal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 War Rascal 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rudiano 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 One Pretty Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Meet George Jetson 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Outofquemado 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Palace Attained 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Iowa Farmgirl 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tripp’s Hit 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Flywheel Effect 0 0-1
6 6 Flywheel Effect 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Her Name Was Lola 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Spitfire Suzie 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Roundabout 1.80 2.4 5-1
7 7 Kid Biz 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pippa’s Prospect 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Never to Many Hugs 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Confetti Betty 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sabria 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sing Lucy Sing 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Risky Whisky 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Catale 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Firebaugh 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Game to Play 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dance Some Mo 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kyandi 3.50 1.3 3-1
9 9 Alyanaabi 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Uxmal 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Classic Bet 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Texthelegend 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Warrior’s Run 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Whiskey Wednesday 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chisholm Trail 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Big Pines Sandy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Passing Time 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Robust 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Fabricator 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wild Appeal 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 It’s All About Joe 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Riding the Train 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Freedom Flash 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Gabriel’s Legend 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 K C’s First B M W 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mojito 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.