Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Metronome | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point At You | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casino Boss | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Different Flame | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothdini | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tapitboy | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Snow Trouble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Capo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Master of Disguise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr Big Stuff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | After Five | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Worlds | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Herd Immunity | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khozan’s Success | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Populist | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steinbeck | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santa Cruiser | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferryboat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Luna Moth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Good Fortune | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady With a Cause | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judy’s Ms. Officer | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pachanga Loca | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Dixie | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Palace | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King of the Palace | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit’s Mischief | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Fig | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Liam | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Myqueen | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Moon | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Norwich | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lomachenko | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Numero Siete | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thezelenskyyfactor | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ceepeegee | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Hungry | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Thunder Ball | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Honky Tonk Highway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | King Bukele | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Runnin’ Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tape to Tape | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friar Laurence | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai Prince | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emerald Express | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Burns | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upstriker | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Senor Jobim | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flags Up | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Wait Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heartyconstitution | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul of an Angel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bhoma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Royal Take Charge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fannie and Freddie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss New York | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Corner Kick | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Jam | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promises to Dance | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Story Hour | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Margoinabubblebath | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Sister Sue | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Punchy Girl | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Decision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavea (GER) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Stairstep Toheaven | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Red | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gavea (GER) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Cave | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mila Junes | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | April’s Diamante | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Margie Go | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Fox Givin | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catholic Gal | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Sense | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peignoir | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Under Oath | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky and Sand | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | W W Candy | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angkor | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Osbourne | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mac Daddy Too | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Rib | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Escape | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Heist | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Midnight | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fan Club | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conniving | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Boss | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anthonian | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Jeremy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish Carefully | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashman | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Marie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Jalen Run | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wistucky | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fear and Loathing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.