Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Air Kenney 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Vegas Playboy 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Catchhimandfreehim 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Dr. Roger 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Nature Ofthe Beast 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mo Eh Hennessy 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 El Gran Sebas 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King of Dreams 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Kidyounot 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Guillaume 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mister Winston 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Claw 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hop and Scotch 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Curlin’s Thrill 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colonel Bowman 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Nichiren 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Ego Man 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Shacks Way 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bam Bam Blu 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Slippin Jimmy 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wild Behavior 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Silardi 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Baby Boomer 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Live Fire 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lucci 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eden’s Gigi 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Amorica 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Ritz On Broadway 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Face It Alone 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bobbi Two Steps 4.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Nosy 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Hipatia 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Spruce Run 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Save Your Tears 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hot Bottom Girl 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Divine Promise 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Magnolia Road 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Peace Fire 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Wine in the Dark 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Dusted 20.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Praline Pecan 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sultry Sky 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Panther Command 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wicked Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fortune Teller 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 One Clear Moment 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Racing 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chris and Dave 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 What’s to Blame 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Doin’ittherightway 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Artistic Reason 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lifespan 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Miracle Silver 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 The Sicarii 3.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Fearless Fly 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mintenon 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Silent Mode 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Morales Little Kid 20.00 3.2 6-1
13 13 Lt’s Jacknthebox 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Grunion 5.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Logan’s Runner 12.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 My Big Drama 10.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 King Joey 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Principe 10.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Mad Doctor 20.00 11.2 21-1
8 8 Factum Love Style 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Henderson 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Photo Copy 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bali Riddim 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Simpson Bay 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grand Manner 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Onehandsomedude 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Silver R 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Tapaterm 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Luckily Leyton 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Mr. Cowboy Bradley 5.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Dagda 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.