Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kozem 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Miss Athletic 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Girvin’s Princess 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Survival Rose 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Castellana 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Whats Up Buttercup 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jazzin 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Field of Blossoms 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Little Juanito 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ubiquitous 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Never Satisfied 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Allegedly Perfect 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Earth 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Abe Honestly 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Problem Joe 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Kingy 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Cajun Asp 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Downey’s Way 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Skylane 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Adiamond Isforever 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bianca Luna 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Full Nelson 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Sanpirodu 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Praiseworthy 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Red Abarrio 6.00 5 10-1
6 6 Go Go Santi 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Adios Now 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grandma’s Pudding 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nothing But Pumps 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Confer 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wicklow Gal 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 R Awesome Sauce 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Kilkenny Bella 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Gratia 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Commandant 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sterling Harmony 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bella Future 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Exchange Day 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dropkick Murphy 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Startonahighnote 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Infamous Nono 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Awesome Crusader 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lights of Broadway 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Swashbuckle 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Surrogate 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 A Rose for Raven 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Big Bucksalot 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Denying 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Uncle Armando 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Envelope (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Uncaptured Tiger 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Etretat 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Doc Ballard 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Antillean 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Travel Guide 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Granted Success 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Commander Biz 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Good Bump 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Lazzarone 3.50 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.