Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Paper Mansion 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Puppymonkeybaby 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Tweet Away Robin 2.00 4 8-1
7 7 Ninja Abarrio 50.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Flava’s Dream 20.00 7.9 15-1
14 14 Shasta Star 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Shyla Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ruvies in Time 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Trikki Nikki 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Translate 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Claire’s Darling 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fast Lani 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Walks Like a Lady 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Raise Your Game 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Evangeline Allons 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Voodoo Mama Juju 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Return Fire 3.00 1 2-1
4 3 Dubai Fire 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 6 Simon’s Choice 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 10 Rye Diggitydog 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 9 Ultimate Strike 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 8 One Way Farrior 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 2 Eyes Eleven 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Play Harder 8.00 6.6 13-1
10 11 All the Way 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 7 Minimo 30.00 10 19-1
11 12 Tortola 30.00 10.6 20-1
1 4 Armed and Ready 3.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flight of Bourbon 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Class Actor 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Putthepastbehind 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Irish Warlock 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Improper 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Sweet Syntax 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Bold Honor 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Prins Fire 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Disputed Notion 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tea Rose 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Intel Agent 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Queen Jelly Bean 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Champlain’s Dream 4.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Bondiva 4.50 4.1 8-1
13 13 Storm Creed 30.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Whatsyourbigidea 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Quit Quay 12.00 6 11-1
14 14 In Her Cups 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Nickys Notion 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Abstract Moment 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Too Many Kisses 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 La Befana 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Not a Bother 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Hunny Bunny 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Freeze the Fire 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Friar Tuck 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Order Ofthe Kettle 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Seven’s Eleven 30.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Arden’sluckytobe 50.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Feeling Woozy 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Crossland 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Calming Storm 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 John Hall 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tocayo 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Under the Overpass 1.80 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bomb Cyclone 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Coringa 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Full Proof 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Nancy Made My Day 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 My Lucky Ace 30.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 In the Dance 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Albert Finnigan 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Opus Forty Two 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Fool Yourself 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Peyton Elizabeth 4.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Charmed Way 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Saddle Up Jessie 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Continentalcongres 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 I Can Run 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Haint Blue 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Six the Hard Way 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cover the Spread 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thursday Girl 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hidden Presence 3.50 1.6 3-1
12 12 Viennese Waltz 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Perfectly Wicked 2.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Cundi 50.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Lisa’s Palace 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Super Sneaky 30.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Parish Lane 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Salty Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Starcry 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fondre 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Forty Miner 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Steam Knot 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Berna Ditty 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Uptown Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Our Finest Hour (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fille d’Esprit 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Edie Meeny Miny Mo 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 I’m Gittin There 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Street Lute 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Quick Munny 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Intrepid Daydream 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Volpe 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 King’s River 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Kingdom Force 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Thename of Thegame 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Gallant Ruler 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Whiskeyinthejaro 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Dashing d’Artagnan 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dialed in a Panic 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Love in May 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.