Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Give Me the Lute | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maven | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Westward Look | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subsidize | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inch | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margot’s Boy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Lily | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poetica | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kristi’s Tiger | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Resilient | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Essential Business | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Touchdown Kittle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Tiger | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazed | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Man O Rose | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toppers Wager | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Compare | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antibes | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Like No Other | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Hello | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Kaline | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aspirational | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Point and Shoot | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Magazine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Last Call Paul | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Potito | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Immelmann | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nestucka | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Joe Shaver | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Rye | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Hit Me Bash | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High King | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleet Brotato | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annan | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiss for Lulu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Just a Guess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fact Or Fiction | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Is | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie Ann Rules | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turquoise Bikini | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eltonsingsanother | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sahara Sue | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes Just Fluffy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Can Quit | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thirty Four Coupe | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Numero Dix (GB) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Developing the Way | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aurelian Man | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Reid | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Workday | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bear Mountain | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Themainprotagonist (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road of Love | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lone Scout | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Chillingworth S.) – Chillingworth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eda | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elm Drive | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Unhinged | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady T | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Home Cooking | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kirstenbosch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Runner | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Belmont Bill | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quintecents | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Choochies | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiefs Blanket | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Man | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tokamak | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Magpies (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Autoline (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Churchmeister | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Secret | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bolts Destiny | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gaelic Nation (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.