Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Finalist | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Extreme | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bet | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Humbug | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haddassah’s Devil | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mambointheforest | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Long Pond | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Like Clint | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point to the Stars | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Lad | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reload’s Rebel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mt Logan | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taranto Titan | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pat’s Gamble | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodluckmate | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proud Ronin | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Julie’s Mist | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Serenade | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tax Included | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hygge | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Derzkii | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Agent | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Start Me Up | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmenootz | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Lucidity | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chelsea Dagger | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sensible Portions | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kitten’s Boy | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Elvis | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thy Kingdom | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hatmaker Holiday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cefalo | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ishiyaya | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Question | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Endorphin Rush | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pino in a Purse | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Belle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lois Len | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bongino | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure King | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Exult | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Langstaff Road | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | October Frost | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diosa Catrina | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Small Talk | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infamous Covert | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Giant | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Charts | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sooner Lunar | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Repeat the Heat | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gatling Gun | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Citrus Boy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guns n’ Rojas | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trinity Park | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lenny K | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Secret | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jamiesta | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bachelor Pad | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salvator Mundi | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Joe | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunspear | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Race for Pinks | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Max | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dragon’s Brew | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Souper River | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Giant | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wickedblackbullet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Serenade | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seattle Down Under | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bartica | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heezespeedy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rural | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday in Chile | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arnie P | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River of Babylon | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just the Max | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.