Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Finalist 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Full Extreme 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Bet 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Stop the Humbug 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Haddassah’s Devil 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mambointheforest 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Lion’s Goldenheart 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Long Pond 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Be Like Clint 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Point to the Stars 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Crumlin Lad 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Reload’s Rebel 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mt Logan 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Taranto Titan 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pat’s Gamble 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Goodluckmate 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Proud Ronin 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Julie’s Mist 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Spanish Serenade 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Tax Included 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Hygge 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Derzkii 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Newport Agent 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Just Start Me Up 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Carmenootz 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Silent Lucidity 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Chelsea Dagger 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Sensible Portions 15.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Kitten’s Boy 15.00 10.4 20-1
8 8 Copinsay 20.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Baytown Elvis 8.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Thy Kingdom 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hatmaker Holiday 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cefalo 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Ishiyaya 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Loaded Question 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Endorphin Rush 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pino in a Purse 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bayou Belle 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lois Len 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bongino 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Treasure King 4.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Exult 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Langstaff Road 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 October Frost 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Diosa Catrina 3.50 7 13-1
8 8 Small Talk 8.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Infamous Covert 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Jmr Pure Sensation 20.00 10 19-1
1 1 Muskoka Giant 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Top of the Charts 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sooner Lunar 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Repeat the Heat 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gatling Gun 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Citrus Boy 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Prince of Thieves 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Guns n’ Rojas 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Trinity Park 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lenny K 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Malibu Secret 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Jamiesta 4.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Bachelor Pad 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Salvator Mundi 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Commander Joe 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sunspear 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Race for Pinks 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Blue Max 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Dragon’s Brew 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Souper River 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Dixie Giant 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wickedblackbullet 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Street Serenade 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Seattle Down Under 20.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Bartica 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Heezespeedy 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Rural 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Holiday in Chile 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Arnie P 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 River of Babylon 5.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Just the Max 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.