Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Best Worst Idea | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humor Sense | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Violent Affair | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Lark | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adayinspain | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cloudy Bay | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodacious Bren | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bali Moon | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Warrior | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Civil Notion | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quantico Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Steph’s Top Nick | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Enough | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Believe in Lov | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Empress | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allie’s Halo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spun in a Million | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Love Maria | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sea Image | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Me Or Don’t | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tipsy Tourist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Temptress Calling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Super Money | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flashy Fig (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Camp Pendleton | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Ops | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patty’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samurai Saint | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Kong | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Political | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Method | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostinyou | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sanderson | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cali Heat | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pappy’s Revenge | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eddie Felson | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prado Road | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American War Hero | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Equipment | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wrigley Reserve | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Demon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter’s Ghost | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Break | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldini | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krug | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Midani | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Honey Bella | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tak E Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Shaughesey | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Shylock | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Band Sweetheart | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glossamer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bohemia Babe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Babe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moonboots | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zipper Zapper | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Zipper Zapper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaring River | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speakerit | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Coup | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Saint | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melina’s Dream | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Darnley | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.