Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Best Worst Idea 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Humor Sense 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 One Violent Affair 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Dixie Lark 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Adayinspain 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Intro 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cloudy Bay 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Bodacious Bren 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bali Moon 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fancy Warrior 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Civil Notion 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Quantico Creek 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Steph’s Top Nick 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tough Enough 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Believe in Lov 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Irish Empress 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Allie’s Halo 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Spun in a Million 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 I Love Maria 10.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Sea Image 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Love Me Or Don’t 20.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Tipsy Tourist 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Temptress Calling 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Super Money 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flashy Fig (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camp Pendleton 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Night Ops 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Patty’s Boy 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Samurai Saint 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Major Kong 3.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Political 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 The Method 8.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Ghostinyou 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sanderson 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cali Heat 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Pappy’s Revenge 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Eddie Felson 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Prado Road 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 American War Hero 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Heavy Equipment 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Wrigley Reserve 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little Demon 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Winter’s Ghost 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Fast Break 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Goldini 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Krug 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Maximus Midani 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Honey Bella 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tak E Lady 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 O Shaughesey 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Lady Shylock 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Band Sweetheart 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Glossamer 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bohemia Babe 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sassy Babe 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Moonboots 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Zipper Zapper 0 0-1
1 1 Zipper Zapper 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Roaring River 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Speakerit 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Royal Coup 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sunny Saint 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Melina’s Dream 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Lord Darnley 10.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.