Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pardy Pleaser 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Crown Jak 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Corinth 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Kaitie Kait 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Pleasant Embrace 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Cajun Anthem 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Red Hot Spark 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 My Sweetheart Dani 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Isayso 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Come Dream With Me 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Superfight 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Divo d’Oro 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Funtastic Three 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 A Fancy Solution 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Cinzento 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Face the Music 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 My Lady James 3.00 5 10-1
3 3 One of One 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Chaina 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Chloe’s Toy 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Princess Blakely 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Omo Ten Girl 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Il Malandrino 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Capturethelaughter 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Natural Vibes 1.80 2.4 4-1
5 5 Tapintoyourbeer 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Action Dream 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Duke Skywalker 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Star of the Beast 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Love Hope Faith 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Pure Class 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Themanupfront 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Sir Mason 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Whateverwilbewilbe 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sabian 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Rye’s My Guy 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sophia’s Storm 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome Annmarie 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Kaeko 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 Simplify (ARG) 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Sheza Happy Girl 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Black Ice 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gitana 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Defended 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Moanas Power 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Glazed Ginger 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sheza Spitfire 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Miles of Smiles 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Both Sides 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Choose Joy 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 David’s Rose 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Baby Steps 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lightnin Runner 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Restofthestory 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Alwayz Late 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sol Hope 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hollywood Beach S.) – Hollywood Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Okiro 0 0-1
4 4 Mattingly 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Okiro 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Prevent 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Esperon 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 El Principito 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Roar Ready 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hermoso Hombre 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Bia 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Longing for Mints 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Super Spin 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Unifieds Princess 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dreambigorgohome 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Black and Silver 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 British Empress 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Moonlight Vision 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fly by Girl 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.