Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Terrace Hill S.) – Terrace Hill S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lil Pete El Soruyo 0 0-1
6 6 Lil Pete El Soruyo 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kornfusion 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Ts Perry Kool 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Famous Coronado 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Miss Jessita 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Gracies Tuition 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jess Lippy 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Jesstrong Corona 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Polk County Derby) – Polk County Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lil Racy Blu 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Duke of Cartel 10.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Racing the Rails 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Ec Wagon 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Dashin Davey Crocket 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Joda Tempting Jet 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Weedy Set Go 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Jesstrong Corona 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Perrysfirstmoonflash 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dc Fusion 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Future Of Iowa S.) – Future Of Iowa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sfs Alice Strikes 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Candy and Corona 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Kays Dynasty 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Vals Sizzling Lips 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Trs Amazing Gracie 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Ts Lil Cash 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Famous Jeanscarnitas 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Rmlilkoolprincess 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Badrapidfastcat 3.50 5.8 11-1
13 13 Going Gaga 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Rcs Wagons Queen 20.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Miss Jessita 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ts Eat Dust 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Foxy Cowgirl 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Five Bar Phi 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Cowboy 123 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Kool Lil Wink 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Go to the Wood 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Queens Grace 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Summerhill Express 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Ab Boogie 8.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Magic King Feet 20.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Ts Buy Me a Corona 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ruling the Roost 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Madethedean’slist 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 County Jail 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tap On By 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Climb to Glory 5.00 4 7-1
7 7 Iowa Farmgirl 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Rockin Boots 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Can’t Make Me 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr Snerdly 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nice One Julio 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stroller Boy 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Fleetwood Smack 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Razor Wire 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Capala 4.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Wicklow Laddie 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Markson 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Gunpowder n’ Lead 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Dan Johnson Sprint S.) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Our Last Chance 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mollies Rocket 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Jaysker 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Redneckerthanyou 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Late for Lunch 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Secret Blarney 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 American Posse 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Iowa Cradle S.) – Iowa Cradle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nave 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Freedom to Speed 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Specialsortastorm 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Dawson’s Storm 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Tee Off Time 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Surprise Road Trip 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Glengarry 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Breeders’ Oaks) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fit and Famous 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dial Sum In 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 My Happiness 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Lavender Lil 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Be Sincere 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Hop Away Hottie 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Iowa Sorority S.) – Iowa Sorority S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Won Happy Mama 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shezawildstorm 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Sorcerer’s Girl 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Inca Stroll 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Beautifly Troubl’d 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Dreamin It Up 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 C’Mon Lucky 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Jaydensqueenoharts 4.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Gisele’s Map 8.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Cel’s Star 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Governor Terry E. Branstad S.) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Time Goes On 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sir Wally Wally 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Finish Up 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 Minecraft Maniac 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Smart N Intuitive 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Running Alex’sband 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Whiskey Wednesday 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Big Pines Sandy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Iowa Breeders’ Derby) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wildatlanticstorm 0 0-1
5 5 Wildatlanticstorm 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Warren L 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 C R Insta Gator 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Palace Guard 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Rockin the Dad Bod 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Succession 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lawless John 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Stumpy’s Love Song 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Donna Reed S.) – Donna Reed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Angel’s Melody 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Flat Out Stormin 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Interstella 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Kayla 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Miss Peach 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Just Like Trista 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Olive Oyl 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Rainbow Dash 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bayleywick 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Kela’s Turn 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dot Com Dreamin 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Annual Budget 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Freddy J 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Leapin Ty Man 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sir Eli 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gold Tapper 6.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Sangria Sky 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Fleet of Hoof 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Weller Rogue 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Uncle Singh 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Native Hellraiser 8.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.