Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Andy Can U Hear Me 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tapatio Leo 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Double Jab 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Geezer 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Barely Funtional 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Irish Heatwave 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Uncle John 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Catemaco 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mr. Disrespectful 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Tom and Jazzy 8.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Spiritual Advisor 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Park City 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sippin N Kissin 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Rich Gold 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Carpe Bellum 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Kentucky Bourbon 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Take Charge Curly 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 98 Mongolian Kingdom 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 North East Star (IRE) 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Thirty Carats 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 6 Spain Moonlight (IRE) 1.60 2 4-1
5 4 Guitar Girl 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Storming Gray 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 98 Make It Snow 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Interplay 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tejon Pass 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Wynstock 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Maximum Capacity 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mr. Leasure 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Bartholdy 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Colorado Cruiser 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Bolt At Midnight 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cornelia Fort 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lakota Spirit 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Luminiferous 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Gimme Mo Baby 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Speed Lane 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Shocking Grey 15.00 SCRATCH
7 98 Lunar Impact (GB) 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Impact Warrior (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Yerwanthere (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dr. Schivel 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Spirit of Makena 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Visitant 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 American Theorem 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Arabian Lion 2.50 6.6 12-1
6 6 C Z Rocket 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Speed Boat Beach 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Sir Atticus 6.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Fort Bragg 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Asada Fries 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cocktail Cutie 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Petit Filet 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Kitzkaty 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Annie Fox 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Lookatherglide 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Signora Vittoria 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Sassy Prancelot 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Wailea Sunset 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Lady Lithesome 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Safa 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Awesome Again S.) – Awesome Again S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 National Treasure 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Defunded 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Stilleto Boy 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Slow Down Andy 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Senor Buscador 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Skinner 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Piroli 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Bye Bye Bobby 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Celestial Moon 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Eddie D S.) – Eddie D S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bran (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lane Way 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Unconquerable Keen (IRE) 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Balnikhov (IRE) 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sumter 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 6.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Radical Right 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Noble Reflection 6.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Packs a Wahlop 15.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Mas Rapido (GB) 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Ah Jeez 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (City Of Hope Mile S.) – City Of Hope Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hong Kong Harry (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Twist (FR) 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Irideo (ARG) 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Astronomer 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Flavius 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Il Bellator 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Hit the Road 15.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 War At Sea 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.