Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Glenrosa 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Different Drum 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Under Budget 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lady Boo 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Nacho Girl 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Pennyjet 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Stormy Ocean 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trizzel Trazzel 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sweet Nola 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Hallanvaara 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 P. S. Rising Star 3.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Mo Town Madison 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Mi Corazon 5.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Ashlee’s Ring 6.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Forest Vixen 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Reins of Purple 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Key Stroke 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Trigger’s Bay 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Confusing 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ignite the Storm 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Gungi 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Coach Abernathy 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dawson Silver 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Stubborn Streak 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Snookered 8.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Social Justice 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mo Town Mayhem 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Delphia 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 She Makes a Point 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Courtly Ro 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Anita Margarita 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Boudica 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Great Kate 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Jumpin Junie 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blitz 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 You Be the Judge 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Party 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Scored 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Charlottes Road 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lois’ Courage 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Peggy 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Stormy Dilemma 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Onella 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rosebud’s Hope 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Taquanyah 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 The Niigon Factor 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Wicked Mercury 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Secretaryofthenile 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Bizymaline 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Liam’s Gift 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Glitter Bay 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Legs Like Flatter 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Hayek 1.40 2.6 5-1
6 6 Destiny Ro 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Aziel 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Echo Seven 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Braquet 4.50 6.6 12-1
2 2 Little Teddy 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Mrs. Hot Shot 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Run for the Hills 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mrs. Green 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Cahira’s Blessing 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Breathing Fire 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hello Friends 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Owen’s Tour Guide 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dolce Sopresa 4.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Curlin Candy 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Gamble’s Silver 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Hai Bobbi 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Awesome Treat 8.00 7 13-1
13 13 Gloriannia 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Verdejo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mason’s Gamble 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Roaring Forties 3.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Artie 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 The Minkster 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Town Cruise 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Told It All 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Dun Drum 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Banff 15.00 5 9-1
11 11 Clear Destination 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Luckman 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Malibu Edge 15.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Journeyman 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Avoman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Waterloo 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Crimson Nights 10.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Silent Tribute 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 War Vow 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Mountain Sound 8.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Neolithic Nation 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Snow Lake 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Seattle Signal 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Queen Sahara 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Ghostly Perfection 10.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Look At Lil Sister 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Forever Danish 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.