Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Determined Blue 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Call the Question 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 The Amazing Mizzen 15.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Sharmin 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Princess Street 6.00 4 8-1
12 12 Ask Amanda 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Very Sure 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Pamz Palace 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Tequila Tara 4.50 5.5 10-1
10 10 Radiant Queen 3.00 6.7 13-1
15 15 Robbery 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tiz Vinno 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shocking Facts 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Salty Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Matching Energy 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Outfactored 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thunder Boss 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Ellie Victorina 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Good Story 30.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Fashionatta 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bali Hai 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Aztec Bay 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Majesty’s Freedom 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lunar Dash 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lothario 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Kasimba 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Surprise Hello 20.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Rock With You 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Golden Salute 10.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Code Name 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Rector 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 The Big Enchilada 30.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Anaheim 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Here Comes Rusty 30.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Mo Money Mo Betta 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Radar Alert 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Elon 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fire and Knives 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blame Catalaya 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mo Co Gold 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Cocktail Dreaming 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mysisternancy 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Victorian Riviera 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 I Have Courage 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Miss Antietam 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Voodoo Mama Juju 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Need a Marker 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Diva Ready 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Corinna 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Now Yus Cant Leave 4.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 On the Shortlist 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Clouds of White 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Jackson’s Dixie 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Always Laughing 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Daily Planet 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Girls House 15.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 A Ring Thing 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Surya 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Genieinabridle 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Red Hot Chick 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First to Arrive 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Don’t Listen 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Missy Boss 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Flag Song Flyin 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Forever Mia 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Valley Star 30.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Miss Justify 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 To Be Loved by You 2.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Princess Blame 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Primed to Go 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Derbyness 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Starlifter 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Money in Motion 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Mucho Love 30.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Scenic Moon 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 No Foolin Mo 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Last Post 3.50 6.2 12-1
12 12 Passioned 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Happy Jaunt 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Burroughs Cay 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Whatahardmanfidead 30.00 7.9 15-1
16 16 Mortal Sin 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Neat 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 St James the Great 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kinda Fonda Wanda 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 His Name Is Sue 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Dialing Dixie 10.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Ima Pharoah 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Savoy 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mischievous Juan 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Spitball 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Mice and Men 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Free Square 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zip Line to Heaven 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Boss Man J J 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 John Hall 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Kobe Tough 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sue Loves Barbados 3.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Fun Notion 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tall Order 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Benny Havens 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 One Truth 30.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Calming Storm 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Royal Spy 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Arden’sluckytobe 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Upsidedown Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Freestanding 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Federal Offense 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Practical Sense 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Austin From Boston 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 General Nooz 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Long Live Now 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Eagle in Love 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Sway’sinmydna 10.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 California Ghost 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.