Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Hot Shot | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Country Living | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buck’s Fizz | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adesso | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guardtherock | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Forest | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Junior Hot Shot | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Screen Legend | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coco’s Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cry Freedom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good News Money | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princessonamission | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mardene | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stolen | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annia Cornificia F | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turbo Prop | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fitzpatrick | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Richiesinthehouse | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hallie’s Hero | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kawacatoose | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call My Banker | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Classy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Tom | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Niagara Skyline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coinage | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forester’s Fortune | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Seamus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proven Strategies | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four Aces High | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Light the Lamp | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warp Ride | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Border Town | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Ontario Damsel S. Presented By Ketel One) – Ontario Damsel S. Presented By Ketel One
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solo Album | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love to Shop | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Witch Hazel | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Dixie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sal’s Blue Jacket | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bar Talk | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halcon Negro | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Challenge | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sparklet | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contrivance | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Magnifico | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clarence B | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Factor | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Visitor’s Welcome | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wagner | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Babbo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Mascot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Maticulant | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rock to Fame | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Myra’s Boy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast and Ready | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Logistics | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dresden Row | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Last Kiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunt Master | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Animal | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Guest | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palio | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Crime | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Shakespeare | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Miracle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U S Army Corps | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Breeders’ S.) – Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paramount Prince | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Touch’n Ride | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elysian Field | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Philip My Dear | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | British Artillery | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wickenheiser | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twowaycrossing | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tito’s Calling | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simcoe | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiburon | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sammy Stone | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaukokaipuu | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight in Malibu | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hemlo Gold | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Legal Catch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Greystone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Over and Ollie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Enjoythesilent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Leslie Chow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Winston Blue | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Sunday | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Mustard | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posturing | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapper Zapper | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Intent | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Samuel | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shamateur | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jim’s Hope | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Magnificent Mario | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Sunshine | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Collaborative | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hardware Gap | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Air Force Reserve | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yorkville | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant One | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Benlion | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four K Force | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Headline | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Butwaitthere’smore | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stronger Together | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bet N Win | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.