Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Junior Hot Shot 0 0-1
3 3 Country Living 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Buck’s Fizz 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Adesso 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Guardtherock 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Perfect Forest 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Junior Hot Shot 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Screen Legend 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Coco’s Dream 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cry Freedom 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good News Money 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Princessonamission 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mardene 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Stolen 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Annia Cornificia F 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Turbo Prop 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fitzpatrick 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Richiesinthehouse 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hallie’s Hero 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Kawacatoose 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Call My Banker 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Souper Classy 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Commander Tom 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Niagara Skyline 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Coinage 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Forester’s Fortune 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sir Seamus 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Proven Strategies 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Four Aces High 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Light the Lamp 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Warp Ride 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Border Town 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Ontario Damsel S. Presented By Ketel One) – Ontario Damsel S. Presented By Ketel One

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Solo Album 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Love to Shop 1.20 1.6 3-1
5 5 Witch Hazel 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Forever Dixie 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Sal’s Blue Jacket 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bar Talk 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Halcon Negro 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Samurai Challenge 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Sparklet 2.50 4 7-1
3 3 Contrivance 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mucho Magnifico 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Clarence B 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Scat Factor 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Visitor’s Welcome 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wagner 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Babbo 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Midnight Mascot 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Maticulant 20.00 4 7-1
11 11 Rock to Fame 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Myra’s Boy 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Fast and Ready 5.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Logistics 6.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Dresden Row 10.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 One Last Kiss 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Beyond Adversity 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hunt Master 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Spirit Animal 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Beau Guest 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Palio 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Perfect Crime 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ready Shakespeare 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Silent Miracle 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 U S Army Corps 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Breeders’ S.) – Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Paramount Prince 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Touch’n Ride 6.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Elysian Field 2.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Philip My Dear 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 British Artillery 20.00 5.7 11-1
14 14 Wickenheiser 10.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Twowaycrossing 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Tito’s Calling 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Simcoe 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Tiburon 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Sammy Stone 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Kaukokaipuu 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Midnight in Malibu 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Hemlo Gold 30.00 9 17-1
16 16 Legal Catch 12.00 SCRATCH
18 18 Greystone 30.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Over and Ollie 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Enjoythesilent 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Leslie Chow 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Winston Blue 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Quiet Sunday 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Colonel Mustard 3.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Posturing 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Rapper Zapper 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Quiet Intent 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Sir Samuel 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Shamateur 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Jim’s Hope 12.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Magnificent Mario 20.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Souper Sunshine 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Collaborative 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hardware Gap 8.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Air Force Reserve 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Yorkville 15.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Giant One 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Benlion 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Four K Force 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Super Headline 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Forest Star 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Butwaitthere’smore 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Stronger Together 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Bet N Win 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.