Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Caliente Rum |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mythreebutterflies |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Luisa |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Debbie’s Surprise |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Popthechampagne Ro |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
So Swell |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
In Good Trouble |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lost Luggage |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Total Discretion |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bruno Barber Girl |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lord Joan |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angelofthegalaxy |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Colette’s Spirit |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Doyle |
5.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amalfi Lady |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Breeze |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Confirmed Genius |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pure Elegance |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aegean Sea |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Random Luck |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gingers Wish |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peacelovenkarma |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Parish Belle |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bullet On Tap |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luli’s Dancer |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pearls and Heels |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crazy Serena |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Creme Caramel |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pearlbdancing |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Lilly Factum |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Matoula |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
True Blue Pearl |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Shudabeenacowgirl |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sharp Eyes |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Breezy Dance |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saratoga Sweets |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Swans Island |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gone |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Sierva C |
10.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sunshine Threat |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Harlee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Linossilvergal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Wicked Spice |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Mii Amo |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Diane’s Merlot |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bossman Jones |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reckless Place |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haney Boys |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Minxzhippsdontleye |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Long Legged Boy |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dadashev |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alonzo Mosely |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wheresthepassion |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smarthumor |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
W. P. Cadet |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pardsy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Brown Shoes |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honorary Degree |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jebologist |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesomebrotherbill |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lord Uhtred |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Camptown Races |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Majestic Tiger |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Flor de Sombra |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dream Concert |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Comedy Act |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
In My Opinion |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mary Q |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kisses for Emily |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sundria |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Talented Man |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Powerfully Built |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rob the Rich |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Geebert |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Iconic Legacy |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tuff Constitution |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
A Dangerous Guy |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Veeson |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Caddy Man |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Popper |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Veselsky |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spartan Boy |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Uptown Shoes |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
It’s a Pity |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shea D Capture |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
14 |
14 |
Bubby Papermaker |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arthur S Gold |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Im Still Brave |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lord Seabee |
15.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sonic Bloom |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gabagool |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Capt Complicated |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.