Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Caliente Rum 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mythreebutterflies 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 La Luisa 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Debbie’s Surprise 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Popthechampagne Ro 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 So Swell 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 In Good Trouble 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lost Luggage 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Total Discretion 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bruno Barber Girl 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Lord Joan 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Angelofthegalaxy 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Colette’s Spirit 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Little Doyle 5.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Amalfi Lady 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Lucky Breeze 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Confirmed Genius 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pure Elegance 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Aegean Sea 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Random Luck 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gingers Wish 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Peacelovenkarma 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Parish Belle 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bullet On Tap 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Luli’s Dancer 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Pearls and Heels 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Crazy Serena 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Creme Caramel 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Pearlbdancing 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Sweet Lilly Factum 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Matoula 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 True Blue Pearl 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shudabeenacowgirl 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sharp Eyes 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Breezy Dance 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Saratoga Sweets 5.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Swans Island 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Gone 8.00 9 17-1
4 4 La Sierva C 10.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Sunshine Threat 12.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Harlee 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Linossilvergal 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wicked Spice 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mii Amo 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Diane’s Merlot 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bossman Jones 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Reckless Place 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Haney Boys 5.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Minxzhippsdontleye 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Long Legged Boy 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Dadashev 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Alonzo Mosely 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Wheresthepassion 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Smarthumor 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 W. P. Cadet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pardsy 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Brown Shoes 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Honorary Degree 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Jebologist 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Awesomebrotherbill 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Lord Uhtred 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Camptown Races 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Majestic Tiger 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flor de Sombra 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Dream Concert 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Comedy Act 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 In My Opinion 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mary Q 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Kisses for Emily 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Sundria 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Talented Man 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Powerfully Built 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Rob the Rich 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Geebert 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Iconic Legacy 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tuff Constitution 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 A Dangerous Guy 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Veeson 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Caddy Man 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Big Popper 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Veselsky 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Spartan Boy 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Uptown Shoes 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 It’s a Pity 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Shea D Capture 20.00 5.1 10-1
14 14 Bubby Papermaker 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Arthur S Gold 20.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Im Still Brave 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Lord Seabee 15.00 11.6 22-1
7 7 Sonic Bloom 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Gabagool 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Capt Complicated 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.