Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Retail Man 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Papa Do Papa Do 6.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Two’s a Crowd 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Solo in Paris 30.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Blue Eighty Five 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mad Banker 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 One Witheverything 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Morq 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Taporical 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Printrack 4.50 1 2-1
7 8 Flint Ridge 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Cajun Casanova 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Beachwalker 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Shivaree 3.50 4.5 8-1
2 1 Flamingo Hawk 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 3 Chateau 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Nolo Contesto 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aggregation 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Colloquy 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Shadow Dragon 1.80 3.4 6-1
4 4 Market Alert 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Thrill of It 3.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Big Bobby 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bossmakinbossmoves 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Three Rivers 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Good Sam 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Lady Milagro 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Starship Defiant 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Into Happiness 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Hydra 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cairo Sugar 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Miss Grillo S.) – Miss Grillo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dancing Spirit 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Camila T (IRE) 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Memorialize 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Gala Brand 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Hard to Justify 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Gold Lightning 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Life’s an Audible 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Whimsically 20.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Steel Lute 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Later Darling 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Sierra Sky 12.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Appellate 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dee’s Speedstre 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Proven Hope 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Dads Good Runner 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 El de Chimi 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Strong Light 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Break the Ice 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Skate to Heaven 3.50 5.6 10-1
9 9 Colpo d’Oro 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Papi On Ice 20.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Scotto 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Pilgrim S.) – Pilgrim S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Get Spooled 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 B D Saints 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Spirit Prince 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Agate Road 3.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Tifareeh 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Fulmineo 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Liam’s Journey 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Triple Espresso 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Tropandhagen 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tough Street 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tizzy in the Sky 5.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Know It All Audrey 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Fireline 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Anatolian 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Miranda’s Rocky 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Frosty O Toole 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Pretti Xtreme 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ruse 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fredo 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 I’m Very Busy 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Fighter in the Win 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Narciso Dali 30.00 5 9-1
4 4 Capture the Flag 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Be of Courage 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Heathguard 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Sell Something 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Yacowlef (IRE) 8.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Lafitte’s Fleet 1.80 SCRATCH
12 12 Bad to the Bones 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Victors Valiant 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Skylander 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Nano Man 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 Price Is Truth 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Sorority Prank 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 9 Big Prankster 2.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Woke Up Quick 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Savage Spirit 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Rob the Bank 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Mithridates 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Drinking Solo 20.00 11.3 21-1
8 7 Az U Chase Me 20.00 11.9 23-1
4 3 Set 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Instamatic 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Score the Rock 8.00 SCRATCH
15 16 Khadullah 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fratellino 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Wonder Wonderland 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.