Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Takeover Kash 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Unxpected Tiger 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Discreetly Thrifty 10.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Liotta 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 New Jersey Heist 4.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 El Gran Cuyaya 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Sun of Silver 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Finn’s Point 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sette Stelle 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 El Buffalo 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Practicallymine 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Great Gazoo 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Collect Redemption 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Casey’s Law 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Fun At the Fort 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Hexagon 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tuna N Stamps 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 My Handsome Man 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Double O Otto 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Adero 5.00 1 2-1
12 12 Laughing Boy 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Greatheart 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Yodel E. A. Who 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Blessed Arion 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 My Danny Boy 10.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Tune In 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Souper Energizer 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 My Boy Paddy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mighty Meister 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rebel Posse 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Great Idea 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dear Santa 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Swan Lake 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Patrol 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Never Change 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Instigated 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Cool Comedian 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Great Faces 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ahsad 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mundo Mix 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 Tiny Tin 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Velvet Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kitchen Fire 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wild Behavior 8.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Nottoway 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Salto de Tigre 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Lord Berrier 12.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Bazoo 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 First Rule 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Even Thunder 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Sovereign of Speed 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Spotted Bull 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Portal One 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Exacting 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bobby G 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 It’s Sizzling Time 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 What Does It Take 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Ain’t Wasting Time 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 My Man Vito 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Polterer 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Speargun 2.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Golden Gulley 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It’s Her Time 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Peppermint Class 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Kizzy 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 My Maggie Moo 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Makemebelieve 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Midnight Heiress 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Vodkatini 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Bella Paloma 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sansa Ariel 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Child Proof 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Chem Major 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Lunita 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Scoreboard Lily 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Mo Stylish 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 My Boss 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.