Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Milagroso 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Curteis 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Merging Traffic 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Florianopolis 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Capt Complicated 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Doctor Magic 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Social Joe 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Majestic Lion 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 McMagic 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kabod 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Urmizzenthepoint 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Rerally 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Wegottaguy 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mr. Tuttle 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wispering Springs 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 W. P. Cadet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Steely Danza 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 We B Shackin 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Gimmebackmybullets 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mischievous Jones 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Rack Gin 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dangnabbit 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Lucky as a Seven 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Take It to the Max 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Now Act Surprised 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Divine Twist 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Incomparable 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Queen Lucky 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 La La Lucy 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Kefaliani 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Anacarava (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Mr. Einstein 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Montauk Summer 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Shane’s Jewel 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Kingsville 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 The Angry Man 20.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Dramatized 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Castagno 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Barleewon 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tiz a Prince 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Restored Order 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 My Boy Colton 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bustin Up 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pontiffany 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Casey 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Classy Sadie 4.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Queen Cadence 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Snappy Ride 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Isabella Smile 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Brody Slam 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lulinda’s Heart 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laytown 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Shpilkes 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Notable Exception 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Predominate 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Dream Big Dreams 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Thtwasthenthisisnw 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Big Beemster 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Roman Empire 4.50 9 17-1
9 9 Louie’s Law 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Hit Me I’m Lucky 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cupid’s Dart 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Et’s Magic Man 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Hard Sting 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 More Than a Dance 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Celtic Treasure 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bee by the Sea 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Boom Boom Kaboom 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Dubby Dubbie 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Reconvene 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mt Suribachi 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ultimate Irony 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Beach Warrior 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Strugar 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Malibu Star 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Genghis 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 We Ready 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Brett’s World 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mr. Roundtree 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 King Cairo 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Holy City 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Warrior’s Vendetta 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Sailor’s Return 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rex Kwon Do 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Golden Talent 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Liberty Runner 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Connecting 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Aye 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Omerta Code 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Threepete 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Don’t Blame Freddy 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.