Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Play Good Pay Good | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Before You Go Go | 1.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Experimental | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Myth | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Caress | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Bento | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Lover | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Daylight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shoopthereitis | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | K D Kakes | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shigeko | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joeybignose | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joey the Fish | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alterina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Libretto (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tawaret | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starts Now | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Machiavellique | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Pool | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Why Waste Words | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anna Lucia | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Naa Dudette | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Control (FR) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rapid Miss Tapit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bargaining Power | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Gloucester | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louie’s Heat | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Berlone | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Motivo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Skippy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Purchase | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Two Thirty Five | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Quartet | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pit Boss | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Datesfreedom | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caerus | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hang Tight | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solo’s Fury | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Fortyfive | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | God Laughs | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brick Ambush | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hair On Fire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Hustle | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Marble | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeffersons Ocean | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slammin Gold | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winwood | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King James | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charging | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Johnson | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Built to Last | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckortwo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volkert | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Terminator | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sainthoodforbrian | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Veterans Beach | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Octopus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tenebris | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kunshan Bridge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | He’s Got It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Got Thunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Happy Cat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fight Fiercely | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pure Pauline | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mystery | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Sa Foradada | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Panther | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Portage | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Fancy Azteca | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toned Up | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Good Penny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ichiban | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vince the Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Your Mission | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Running | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cattani | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Storm | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Waflr | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just for Luck | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hari | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Bail | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Testa Dura | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heroneandonly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Refuah | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aula | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Prix de West | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chulligan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | He’s a Lucky Guy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.