Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stomping Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divining Stone | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Prize | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bali Rolling Tide | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Mind | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Court Contender | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paynted Thunder | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boyd’s Band | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Birdie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luckbealadytonight | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Atka | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thea’s Theme | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shesasuperfreak | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Liking It Twisted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wynn Trip | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Discreet Devil | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ray’s Gone Astray | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ventilator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Barfly | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smilin Jack | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Socks | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Image | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Thousand Idols | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alboroto | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out On the Town | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Joke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gun of Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Mule | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Sass | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’oro Baby | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lilli Rose | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ojitos Bellos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Circle of Courage | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brass Band | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Cajun Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Up for It | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Creole | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Appointed | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sergeant Molly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Treasured Gem | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherie Amour | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | La Befana | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Denim N Lace | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Rose (GER) | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tacheene | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Spain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reppazz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Maman Joon (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boss Logic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Romance | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Your Analysis | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Banker | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Andrews | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Confession | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lib’s Contento | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expensive Cut | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Provision | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eddie the Great | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fieldstone | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calloway Peak | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gratia Prince | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready Reward | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maybe It’s Time | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Brains | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | David’s Prospec | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gambling Tzar | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alvy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starstreet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dart | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Westover | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Filigree | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Maestro | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trophy Room | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superstitieux | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Smoak | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Save | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.