Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stomping Moon 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Divining Stone 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Whiskey Prize 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bali Rolling Tide 15.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Dangerous Mind 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Court Contender 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Paynted Thunder 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Boyd’s Band 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awesome Birdie 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Luckbealadytonight 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 True Atka 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Thea’s Theme 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Ruvies in Time 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shesasuperfreak 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Liking It Twisted 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wynn Trip 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Discreet Devil 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Ray’s Gone Astray 5.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Ventilator 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Barfly 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Smilin Jack 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Pop Socks 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Elusive Image 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 A Thousand Idols 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Alboroto 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Out On the Town 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Rebel Joke 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gun of Gold 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fast Mule 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Unbridled Sass 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 D’oro Baby 12.00 4 8-1
10 10 Dorothy’s the Boss 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Lilli Rose 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Ojitos Bellos 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Circle of Courage 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Brass Band 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 My Cajun Lady 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Up for It 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Creole 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Heavenly Appointed 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sergeant Molly 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Treasured Gem 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Cherie Amour 12.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 La Befana 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Denim N Lace 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Forever Rose (GER) 12.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Tacheene 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Nancy Spain 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Reppazz 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Maman Joon (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boss Logic 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Last Romance 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Your Analysis 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Wild Banker 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 St Andrews 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 No Confession 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Lib’s Contento 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Expensive Cut 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Provision 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Eddie the Great 8.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Fieldstone 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Calloway Peak 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Gratia Prince 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Ready Reward 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Maybe It’s Time 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Joe Brains 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 David’s Prospec 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Gambling Tzar 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Alvy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starstreet 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dart 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Westover 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Filigree 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Call Me Maestro 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Trophy Room 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Superstitieux 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sir Smoak 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Big Save 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.