Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trailing Monster 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Our Legal Tender 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Inveigled 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Remember the Name 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Goodbye Note 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Naptown 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Square Slice 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 El Divino Nino 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pickin Sea Glass 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Crazy Odds 6.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Evenly Divided 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Get Them Digits 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Flash Is Back 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Bubba Chrome 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Reap What You Sow 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Strong Finish 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Hampden Lane 30.00 8 15-1
13 13 Drum and Drummer 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Win No Joke 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Kbcya Later 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jackson Road 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Landon Jack 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Duckpins 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Casino Tricks 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sippin’ Time 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Robbery 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 True Sunshine 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 El Dorado Queen 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Flor de Luna 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 R B’s Big Moment 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Moneyslot 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 City Kiss 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sun Streaming 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sunny Sunshine 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 New Rome 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Police Woman 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Devil Pays in Gold 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 And Whistle 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Kentucky Reign 2.50 5.8 11-1
10 10 Reveille Song 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Don Diva 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Cora’s Choice 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 South Pacific 15.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Sky Buy 30.00 10.9 21-1
13 13 Little Nutter 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mashua 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fessin Up 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lady Mosler 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Matty Bo 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sassy Annie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lovely Liza 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Looking for Water 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Sistren 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Spencerian 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Fashionista 20.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Ginger Girl 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Sullivan Street 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Gwynedd 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Thencomemorning 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beltane 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Suga Steve 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Street Rockin 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Enzo 3.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Eastern Extension (IRE) 2.50 8 15-1
1 1 Mission North 12.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Navy Admiral 10.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Shadow Man 10.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Pops Harper 12.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Takethefifth 30.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Zingales King 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Break the Chains 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lookin’ Super 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sumo 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Carbonite 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Pudge Boy Palace 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Shackinthebox 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Abuelo Paps 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 North Highland 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Giuseppe 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Triple Titos 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 You Must Chill 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Graded On a Curve 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bodecream 12.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Sweeping Giant 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Global Sensation 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Power Back 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Mr. Shades of Gray 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Papal Law 30.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Super E 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Rough Sea 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Brasstown 1.20 SCRATCH
8 8 Youngest of Five 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Lookin for Justice 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Midnight Renegade 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 One Whirlwind Ride 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Brother Conway 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Woodline 20.00 4 8-1
13 13 Amity Road 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Childers 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sheriff Ronnie 15.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Byk 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Switzer 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Penzance 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Fan the Fire 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Just Beat the Odds 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Paradise Valley 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rubys Flash 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Standinginthefire 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sugar Hoof 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dream River 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Malibu Slew 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Subscribed 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Steal N Dreams 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Seeker 30.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Eric’s Gift 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.