Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gendragon 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 It Worked 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tourist’s Dream 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Stylish Gent 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Forester Humor 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Rookie Radar 3.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Spanish Prince 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chunky Monkey 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Dancin’ Deputy 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Hard Reload 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Brother Belen 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Only Love 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Commander At Sea 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Daddy Send Money 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lois 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cloud Storage 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Alberta Be Mine 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lincolnville Beach 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Old Secrets 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Rifling 3.00 6 11-1
8 8 Lady in Red 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Cliff’s Head 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Today 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Yoddha 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Sugartap 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Cadfael 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Whaddya Mean 15.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Souper Cop 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Kid Marvelous 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Working Holiday 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Zodiac Beach 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Featherweight 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Golden Spring 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Good Bye New York 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ladies Rum 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Contagiouslaughter 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Guroo 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 American Gamble 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Miss Bobbit 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Speedy Lynn 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Baby Mo 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Hard to Capture 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Summer Snow 4.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Fedalia 2.50 7.4 14-1
7 7 Mi Tormenta 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hell N Wild 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Foxy Lady 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Gizmo’s B F F 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Diamond Crush 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Halfinthewrapper 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gabby Squared 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smoken Chloe 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Crumlin Beast 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Sweeping Passion 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Few Regrets 4.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Almonte Princess 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 Forever Danish 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sweet Bombolini 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Moet Monet 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Tatoosonmysoul 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Classicalcrossover 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.