Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tooshay 0 0-1
7 7 Negra Gata 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Don’t Tell Amy 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Best Coast 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 La Grotte 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Be Best 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Graceful 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Scherzer 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Tooshay 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Gio Ponti S.) – Gio Ponti S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Appraise (IRE) 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Northern Invader 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 City Fever 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bat Flip 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ohana Honor 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Army Times 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mariah’s Fortune 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Trade Secret 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Its Cold in Dehere 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Suspended Campaign 2.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Alpine Queen 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Linny Kate 4.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Wait a Minute 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Game Theory 12.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Vallarand 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Spirit of St Louis 0 0-1
6 6 Spirit of St Louis 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Jerry the Nipper 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 City Man 1.20 2.3 4-1
7 7 Un Ojo 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Barrage 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kingdom On Paws 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Born Dancer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forced Ranking 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kunshan Bridge 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Giroovin 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Big Venezuela 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Born a Gambler 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 American Law 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Fight Fiercely 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Disappearance 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Brooklyn Diamonds 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forward Move 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Forwardly 2.50 2.3 4-1
11 11 Empire Attraction 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Aruba 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Into It 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Lucky Lucky Luke 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 No Regard 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Carpe’s Dream 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Ableton 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Mama Banned Me 20.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Addicted to You 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Barrel of Quests 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Zapruder 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Billy’s Got Issues 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Mister Abarrio 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Drum Roll Please 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Houlton 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Hamilton’s Way 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Unique Insight 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Hunt Ball 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Enlighten 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Digital Ops 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Trucker 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Pentathlon 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spooky Lady 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Maddie’s Grace 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Saratoga Gaze 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Lady Mia (FR) 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Latest Edition 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Linarite 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Three Girls 5.00 6 11-1
3 3 Bustin Bullet 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Try It Again 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Principled Stand (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Eyes On Target 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Maxwell Esquire 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 High Tide 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Clear Vision 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Original 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Landbiscuit 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Klickitat 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Nolo Contesto 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Brazillionaire 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Drake’s Passage 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Paddington 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Winters Lion 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Signator 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mistical Curlin 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Suerte 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Complete Agenda 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Quality Chic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Gotham Gray 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Red Butterfly 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Dance With Me Babe 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Mim 3.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Mo Damorninggrouch 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Unholy 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Follow the Fed 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Stone of Destiny 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Galatrona 12.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Dramatic Effect 30.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Sugar and Speights 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Benevolently 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Purest Performance 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jenny Waterbags 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Two Redheads 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Ruler of the Night 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.