Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hidden Love 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Amelies Dreamer 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Shesthebiggame 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Early Dawn 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Midnight Faith 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Dreamed I Am Fast 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Kostroma’s Dancer 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sense of Heart 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Pintora 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Tensas Lu Lu 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Sassy Spry 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Seehoss 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Here Comes Magic 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Flit N Flot Time 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Bode’s Light 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Wedington 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Monitor Mills 2.00 5 9-1
5 5 Band Boss 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sounds Like Power 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hymn for Carlos 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Cunimbus 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Prodigy Paradise 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Gatsby’s Fortune 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Skinny Bobby 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Call Me Rip 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Summertime Peppers 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Pop’s Peppysteper 12.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Loudthundrhevyrain 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Hit the Bullseye 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Majestic Palace 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Honor My Speed 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mr. Four Sevens 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 U S Navy Cross 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Standing Man 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Cherokee Takeover 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Customize My Quest 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Donna’s Court 20.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Croque Monsieur (GB) 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Applewood 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 I’m d’Cat 6.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Analyzer 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Getcha 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mystic Creed 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Expect a Dancer 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 R T’s Cajun Lady 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Mo Bandi 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Stolen Art 3.50 8.4 16-1
3 3 Sassy Flyer 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Petticoat 6.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Lyrical Music 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Dat Dares Right 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Magnolia S.) – Magnolia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free Drop Maddy 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Alpine Mist 15.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Norah G 4.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Free Like a Girl 1.80 2.5 5-1
9 9 Zydeco Music 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Final Quest 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 For Harper 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Noneya 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Tensas Candy 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Wholelottamo 6.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Louisiana Liberty 20.00 10.4 20-1
12 12 Eileen Alexandra 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mangum 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lunar Module 10.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Biloxi 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ocean of Storms 12.00 4 8-1
10 10 Blame J D 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sammy Danseur Jr. 5.00 5 10-1
6 6 Wise Verdict 4.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Motawaafeq 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Heza Pickle 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Ironical 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gold Cup S.) – Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Touchuponastar 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Who Took the Money 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mangum 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Big Chopper 6.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Binding Agreement 20.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Budro Talking 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pickens 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Silver Galaxy 12.00 10.7 20-1
12 12 Throwin’ Shade 20.00 11 21-1
8 8 Touchdown Joe 20.00 11.3 21-1
10 10 Autumns Strong Man 20.00 11.9 23-1
11 11 Double Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Treasure Coast 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Lost Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Buck’s Glory 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Noble Connection 5.00 5 9-1
11 11 Ghost Cowboy 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Moro Flyboy 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Little Star Target 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Putthehammerdown 6.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Muletrain 10.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Chief Kimosabi 10.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Unitedappeal 10.00 11 21-1
7 7 Moro Legend 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.