Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Active Duty | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Warden | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | J J’s Joker | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cashmeup | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Archie the Giza | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Kringle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peek | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Surface to Air | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runningforjoy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Texas Pride | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cafe Racer | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barnstorming | 4.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Atlantic Dancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Solomon Vandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Big Skippy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dissolved | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Slipper | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Muffin | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yaree D Tat | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loveland | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlottesapproval | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tanya Showers | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twirl Around | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Chai | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chilled | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Ella | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Western Gailes | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bernar Mosa | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Speighter Woman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aunt Fannie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | H. T. Xena | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Item Saver | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Day | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Beat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eivissa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Votary | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bandita | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mariah’s Appeal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lemorian | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dorothy Crowfoot | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Queen | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Keepsake | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Done Enough | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Almond Fudge | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenwick | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intermittent Fast | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cupids Crush | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | L J’s Emma | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bling | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Determined Jester | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daring Do | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Nature | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stone Silent | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Condensation | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gatita Suave | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Murky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zapple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gold Del Mar | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silvery Moon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tammy Lynn | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | C’Est Cheese | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plagne Champagne | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Circling | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pin Up Betty | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Easy Street | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Breeze | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pour Some Wisdom | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Candy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Berlaine | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shore War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Makeup | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.) – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Oscar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bango | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nakatomi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sibelius | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoist the Gold | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gulfstream Way | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Gunner | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Necker Island | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manny Wah | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Bear | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Voodoo Zip | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland November) – Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland November
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toupie | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Haze | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Appellate | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crown Imperial | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abeyance | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Asternia | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buchu | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pharoah’s Wine | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Waves | 3.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Dazzle | 2.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Gambler | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Darley Alcibiades S.) – Darley Alcibiades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candied | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Alys Beach | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brightwork | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | V V’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alpine Princess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Cami | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wine On Tap | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candied | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shimmering Allure | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emery | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chasing the Crown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Underdressed | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johny’s Fireball | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Script | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beuys (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No One to Blame | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Drakon | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bullseye Bun | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wake Surf | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Point Proven | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colosseo | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Finn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Point Me By | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Golden Alchemist | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Luigi’s Spirit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cowboy Justice (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.