Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Away to Return 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Sneaky Cheeky 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Noble Bid 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Ninja Abarrio 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Performanceanxiety 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Gold Time Vixen 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 La Familia 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Soupster 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Reawakened 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hard Traveler 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Harbor Moon 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Holey Moley 10.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Longworth 15.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Cripple Creek 20.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Pavoni 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Hurrying Home 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Stormy Seas 50.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 He Did It 4.00 8 15-1
2 2 Nobel Speaker 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Go Take Charge 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Amani’s Tiger 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ekati’s Verve 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Caribbean (AUS) 1.80 1.4 3-1
10 10 Ace Nine Nine 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Foreclosure 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Spectrier 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Jasontakeslong 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Fermat 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Bad Guy 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Unequivocal 12.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Blameitonthefun 15.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Captain Cardo 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Feathers (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Cupids Dream 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Social Engagement 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bramble Bush 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Instinctive 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Red Wind 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Elegant Taste 50.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Congress Hall 8.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Brummagem 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Beautiful Star 30.00 7.6 14-1
15 15 Call On Clara 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Thunder Buggy 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Klayton’s Kandy 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Viking Queen 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dotada 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Boston Princess 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trepat 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sponsored 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Grand Escape 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Notion to Tapit 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Cavalry Command 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Rascally Rebel 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Smooth Rico 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 No Me Digas 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Sweet Asta 30.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Pressing Concern 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Quincannon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lightress 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bandonarun 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Zoinnocent (IRE) 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Meetmeatthebeach 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Wise and Elegant 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Angel Art 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Awesome Jazz 6.00 6.8 13-1
16 16 Betcha by Golly 30.00 9.3 17-1
10 10 Sassy Annie 20.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Made to Hustle 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lilly Simone 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Princess Palmer 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gift of Gab 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Air One 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reckless Kelly 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Smoochinwithcindy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grand Wiser 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Noble Jon 30.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Aequor 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mocephus 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Pit Stop Man 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Charge to Victory 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Free Square 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Goodluckchuck 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Nottoway 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lifelovenlaughter 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Naval Empire 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Noble Belief 20.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Money’s Worth 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Circle Home 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Island Philo 20.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Cush Effect 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Cut From Class 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Domo Arigatou 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Brzina 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Wright Up Front 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Super Renee 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Desert Dalliance 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Breezy Connection 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Winked 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sweet Shugs 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 How Sweet She Is 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Willful Desire 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neutral 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bail Out 3.00 1.3 3-1
10 10 Votethemallout 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Lightning Lad 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sigmund 2.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Drum and Drummer 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Malibu Rumble 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Stormy Fire 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Law of the Jungle 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Moon Sign 30.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Celtic Sea 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mackenzie’s Novva 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Master of None 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 I Run 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Food Foodie 1.80 SCRATCH
16 16 Fightnomoreforever 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.