Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Den of Iniquity (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Star of The Night (IRE) 1.80 3 6-1
5 5 Happy Happy 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Bolt’s Broad 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Adelie (IRE) 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 10.00 5 10-1
7 7 Chrome Dessert 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Established 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Quick Finish 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Smuggler’s Run 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Santos to Wilson 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Nauvoo 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Good Juju 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sand to Sea 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Grazen Touch 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Smiling Amy 15.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Sarande 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Take Caramie 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Satoshi 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 The Music We Make 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Dusty Springfield 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bluegrass Ryder 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Montana 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Cryptoholic 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Memes 1.80 5 9-1
6 6 Bendettijoe 2.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Whiskey Vision 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Buffett 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Carmen Miranda 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stressed 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Benedict Canyon 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 M Is for Magic 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bella D 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Wet My Beak 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Len’s Luck 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Donttestyourluck 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Noble Union 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Quincey 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 American Livin 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Acceleray 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Big Gun 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Paleo’s Princess 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Don’t Ju Forget 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Unwritten Code 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Queen of Pompeii 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Miss O’Brien 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Yo Yo Mama 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Spoiled Rotten 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Big Celebration 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Flame McGoon 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Diamonds Danzing 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
American Admiral 0 0-1
5 5 Practical Move 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Newgrange 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 American Admiral 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tripoli 8.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Divine Armor 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mr Fisk 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tahoe Sunrise 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Blue Oasis 5.00 1 2-1
3 2 Mocha Grande 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 5 Auratium 8.00 2.2 4-1
11 9 Willa T 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 Sabres 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 She Is Romantic 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Persia 3.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Circle of Trust 12.00 7 13-1
10 8 Pink Whitney 6.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Into Yellowstone 20.00 SCRATCH
7 98 Cailin Dana 0.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Motet 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.