Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Den of Iniquity (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star of The Night (IRE) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Happy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt’s Broad | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adelie (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Dessert | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Established | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Finish | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smuggler’s Run | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santos to Wilson | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nauvoo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Juju | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sand to Sea | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazen Touch | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Amy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sarande | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Caramie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Satoshi | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Music We Make | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dusty Springfield | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Ryder | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montana | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptoholic | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memes | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bendettijoe | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Vision | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buffett | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carmen Miranda | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stressed | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benedict Canyon | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | M Is for Magic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella D | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wet My Beak | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Len’s Luck | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donttestyourluck | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Union | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quincey | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Livin | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acceleray | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Gun | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paleo’s Princess | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Ju Forget | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unwritten Code | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Pompeii | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss O’Brien | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yo Yo Mama | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spoiled Rotten | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Celebration | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flame McGoon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Diamonds Danzing | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Admiral | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Practical Move | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Newgrange | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Admiral | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tripoli | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Armor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr Fisk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tahoe Sunrise | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Blue Oasis | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mocha Grande | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Auratium | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Willa T | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sabres | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | She Is Romantic | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Persia | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circle of Trust | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pink Whitney | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Into Yellowstone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Cailin Dana | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Motet | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.