Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Moon | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give Me the Boots | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strike the Pose | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Maiden | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Murder Hornet | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Infinite Passion | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Town Madison | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War’s End Kiss | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Three Sonny Sideup | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orphan Hallie | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucys Child | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximus Momentus | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canyouhearmenow | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Upstart Gentleman | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bokermin | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blueberry Fields | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Mocha | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Grinding | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bringer of Rain | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchant Me | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Touring | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Summer | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Humor Me Jim | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grace On the Green | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Phyllis | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moral Turpitude | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Suzie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Well Actually | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Garofoli | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sneakers | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Needs Fulfilled | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Passion Prone | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Daddy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of Seattle | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quandale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Venti | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Ambition | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trebuchet | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miah Said | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discovery Chart | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Flatter | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Baby | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Point | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Niteinshiningarmor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Luv to Win | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Magician | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Alliance | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Trouble | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Conquest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smart Coverage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vandoo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Siesta Beach | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Meko Makee | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Image | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Bourbon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | That Girl Artemus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Natural Star | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valley Victory | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cantucci | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always a Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.