Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tipsy Moon 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Give Me the Boots 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Strike the Pose 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Forest Maiden 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Murder Hornet 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Infinite Passion 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Mo Town Madison 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 War’s End Kiss 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Three Sonny Sideup 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Orphan Hallie 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Lucys Child 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Maximus Momentus 2.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Canyouhearmenow 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Upstart Gentleman 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Copinsay 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bokermin 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blueberry Fields 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nonno’s Little Boy 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Mad Mocha 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Keep Grinding 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bringer of Rain 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Enchant Me 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Touring 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Muskoka Summer 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Humor Me Jim 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 I’m a Bourbon Girl 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Grace On the Green 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fancy Phyllis 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Moral Turpitude 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Golden Suzie 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Well Actually 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maximus Magic 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Garofoli 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Red Sneakers 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Needs Fulfilled 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Passion Prone 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Canadian Daddy 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Spirit of Seattle 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Quandale 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Venti 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Grand Ambition 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Trebuchet 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Miah Said 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Discovery Chart 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Dixie’s Flatter 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Dream On Baby 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Seattle Point 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Niteinshiningarmor 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Luv to Win 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Napa Spirit (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tricky Magician 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ghoul (BRZ) 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Grand Alliance 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Western Trouble 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Crafty Conquest 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Smart Coverage 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vandoo 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Siesta Beach 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Meko Makee 1.60 2.7 5-1
8 8 Classy Image 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Chasing Bourbon 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 That Girl Artemus 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Natural Star 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Valley Victory 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Cantucci 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Always a Way 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.