Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wesley Thomas 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Free Drop Bach 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Minny Speightster 2.00 4 8-1
7 7 Secret Zipper 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Horseshoe Patsy 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Downpatrick 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Hot On Your Heels 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Practical Way 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Leaoflittlefaith 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Oiler 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Daredavite 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 The Bearrish One 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Boca Guy 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Midnight Strikes 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Flatter Me 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just the Thing 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Amirati 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Little Crybaby 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lady Prospect 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Bold Baby 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mucho Tigger 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Late Nite Lizzie 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Ellie’s Runner 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Touchdown Montage 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bright Forecast 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Bayou Shack 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Six Whips 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Spritzer 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Super Rocker 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Princely God 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Must Be Love 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Wasabi Boy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Victoria’s Dancer 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Still Temper 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Power Squeeze 2.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Matching Energy 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Big Bolt 8.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Take the Cookies 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Pure Magic Girl 12.00 8 15-1
12 12 Berna Ditty 10.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Free Charging 12.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Salty Girl 10.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 Gold Alliance 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Miss Melodramatic 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Parish Lane 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Molly Malone 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Catalina Cruzin 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chublin 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Shake It Baby 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Insouciant 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Eloper 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Spirited Ride 3.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Eden’s Gigi 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Bootsy’s Merlot 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Grace Reformed 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Offshore Affair 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Marvin 10.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Officer Country 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Dream Liner (BRZ) 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Colonel Moorhead 8.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Mount Travers 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Joe Phillips 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Rock Solid Golfer 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Flying Scotsman 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Borgobythesea 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Backwoods Boogie 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Petit Fils (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beach House 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cup of Life 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rosy Apple 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Moon Me Again 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Playera 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Salsa Rita 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Kirby 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Epicurean 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.