Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grosse Tete Ian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Zong | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Crazy | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Sassicaia | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knight of Honor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strike a Bargain | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inglis | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red On the Head | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wauchula | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pallaton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Catalina Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oil Money | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prizeless | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Bert | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentleman’s Secret | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justin Speight | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Beaux | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Launched | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full Impact | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Girl Likes Bling | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buckskin Jerry | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Communicationiskey | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Astrology Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betonya | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molto Vino | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marion Roses Girl | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rachel’s Gem | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | F J’s Chaos | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Good N Sassy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Take Her Away | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boardwalk Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Forgotten Fortune | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Toast | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thisonesforlove | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cincy’s Anna | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last of the Nile | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Cowgirl | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Villana | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wa Wa Wee Wa | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ring Twice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tease Me Not | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pure Malice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Defiant Malice | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Late Night Cruiser | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drewmania | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Diamond | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Flew Bombers | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby’s Last Dance | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Listening | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Pajaro Loco | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Free Drop Rob | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pinch Me a Penny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeffrow | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buck Doll Taylor | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reddingandlee | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joey’s Game | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letstakeitoutside | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theo d’Or | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Main Dude | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party Little Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bella Brown | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jake the Band Man | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Colliery | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laughingsaintssong | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hostile Afleet | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lion Heart Legend | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slither | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Marvin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morricone | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Farewell Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wupkar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carson’s Princess | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Minute Drill | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tulsa | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Call | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marina’s Gold | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cave Creek | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hamazing Debate | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Red Bel | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broke Financing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carpe Horseshoe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond the Hype | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ann’s Storm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honorary Guest | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Alibi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fasted | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Finnleys Encore | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beaux Tox | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guest in My Heart | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s My Priority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.