Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Great Illusion 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Awesome Friend 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Decisive Warrior 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Texas Air Force 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Neigh Neigh Now 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Adiamond Isforever 30.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Tenth Mountain 8.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Noble Star 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Hercules N Love 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mannix (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ember 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Keanu 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Grande Soiree 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Money Map 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Eyes of Champion 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 T Ville 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Pluma Roja 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Euphoria Star 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Casually 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Next On Stage 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Lucy’s Cookie 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Great Venezuela 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Spicy Guacamole 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 The Myth 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Breezero 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Fluffy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hercules 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Self Taught 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Game Boy Benny 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Road to Stardom 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 This Run’s for You 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Cross Haste 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Fivefive Six Champ 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Secret Lover 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Zaino 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 White Series 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Supreme Dominance 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Catalytic 4.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Xy Face 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Guaicaipuro 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Catalina Winemixer 20.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Dash to Finish 30.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Amazing Jett 30.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Dixie Preach 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Xy Time 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Chapalu 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Burning Man 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Pound Green 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cupid’s Dude 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Templet 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Benelux 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Readyseekgo 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Timmy M. 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Competitive Saint 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gepard 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Loyal Louie 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Executive Search 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Barone Cesco 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sensei Lawrence 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Thenorthremembers 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Lunar Rocket 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Gracie S.) – Miss Gracie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Time Passage 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 To Thyself B True 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Coco 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pawky 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Olga 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Luck in the Dusk 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Principia 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Don’t Get Pickled 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Princess Rooney Invitational S.) – Princess Rooney Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bluefield 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Maryquitecontrary 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 R Adios Jersey 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Olivia Darling 10.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Three Witches 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Rosie’s Halo 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Poiema 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Flakes 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Last Leaf 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miguel’s Belle 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Umbral 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Diva Ballerina 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Hermosa Mujer 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wow Lucky 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Sweet Miss 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Chilling Factor 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Church Girl 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 She Loves to Move 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 My Sarasota Queen 3.50 8.2 15-1
8 8 Mochi Girl 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.