Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Penny’s Prospect | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A La Carte | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Jack | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of Arms | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Debate | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fan the Fire | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunner Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Power Alley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergen | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Linzer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Know Who You Are | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Workislife | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honky Tonk Highway | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vesture | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toolpusher | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gallant Mischief | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moonlight Road | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surf City | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Promissio | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bergen | 4.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Camaro Z | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Higginsville | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Atomic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Prankster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Icicles | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Insensitive | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Time to Dream | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raggity Sand | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream On Stormy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Polks | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crushed Ice | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil Blue Dress | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Willakia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Music Festival | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Star | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saffron Moon | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Watch This Birdie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zawish | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Strike | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Arsinoe | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Girl Named Charlie | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | I’m So Sorry | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mammas Girl (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beechnut Trophy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Morgs World | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lilly Lane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normandy Hero | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Valentine Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Haul | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normandy Hero | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Go Mark | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alder | 2.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dunphy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raccoon Rodeo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baxley | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | General Battle Axe | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormquist | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel) – Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eye Witness | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kaufymaker | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Live In The Dream (IRE) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beer Can Man | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Shot | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arzak | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Beat Brian | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Runner | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Foxtrotanna | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let My People Go | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coppola | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kavod | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Thoroughbred Club Of America S.) – Thoroughbred Club Of America S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazin N Flashn | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Halo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yuugiri | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Soul | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Static Fire | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire On Time | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Leaf | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Like Water | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (First Lady S. Presented By Uk Healthcare) – First Lady S. Presented By Uk Healthcare
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Italian (GB) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whitebeam (GB) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gina Romantica | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jumbly (GB) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Year’s Eve | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evvie Jets | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gam’s Mission | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thisnameisokay | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity) – Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Generous Tipper | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | The Wine Steward | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Locked | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Steel | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | West Saratoga | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Road | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Flame | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Generous Tipper | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Chatterbox | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timberlake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Coolmore Turf Mile S.) – Coolmore Turf Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up to the Mark | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Annapolis | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up to the Mark | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atone | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Set Piece (GB) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Bee | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stitched | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harlan Estate | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master of The Seas (IRE) | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indestructible (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nash | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Booth | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Hawk | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hammerstein | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapoport | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miyagi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starscape | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Goldbrick | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Who’s the King | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alwaysintomischief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Poker Run | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Latta | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Corso’s Pick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Agoo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tap Anchor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.