Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quality Blastoff | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woody’s Choice | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | State School Smart | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishert | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slick Country Boy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soldiers Sacrifice | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Safe Bet | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prather | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Witt’s Jerry | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Travis | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Reverend Aj | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Chillin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daahers Bully | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catale Storm | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robert Who | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trappe Valley | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocktizway | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Webcam | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shell Game | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Prime Code | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr Vinnie Boombatz | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tahkodha Knight | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Ice | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Curlin | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Crew | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Adopter | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jim Ned | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isaidwhatisaid | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edgy Lover | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Courage | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Need Marketing | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Money Express | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnet and Steel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pandemic Cat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asset Basis | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Star | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Afternoon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucys Major Mircle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Bling | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uptown Hustler | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Wave James | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Hood | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Running Flat Out | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Socks | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Bee | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Major Payne | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Norway Beach | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Excaper | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vestes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Brave Okie | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wristband | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Foot | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devious Dennis | 8.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legacy Account | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shannon C | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Connors Outlaw | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pomeroy Haze | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly to the Bank | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Indian | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twirled | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asena | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany Twist | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rollin Chrome | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Rose | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Happy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Bisonette | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Autostrada | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oil N Candy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hal’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Rocker | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazzy Lassie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekati’s Hit | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whats Up Sweets | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mortify | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Boom Baby Flats | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | R D C Posse | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Booster | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Forest | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Smoke | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Q B Twelve | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hay Scooby Doo | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mortify | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Herecomestroy | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What the Hey | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Crusader | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.